Validations Queue

106,328 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 1 of 2, 500 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.

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All (106328)arxiv (50087)codex_research_pack (134)edgar_8k (3601)fda (4940)gdelt (1218)github_release (3157)manifold (10564)polymarket (32627)

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Bulk auto-confirm by similarity threshold

Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.

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Sim	Doc	Source	Pred	Domain	Prior
0.84	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.84	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.84	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.84	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.84	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.83	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-10-29	235_042 OpenAI IPO shares could deliver a 50% pop in 6 months after IPO. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	39%
0.82	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-10-29	246_006 OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	37%
0.82	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.81	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.81	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.81	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.81	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.81	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.81	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.81	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.81	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.81	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.80	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.80	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.80	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.80	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.80	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.79	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-06-01	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.79	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-06-01	246_006 OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	37%
0.79	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.79	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?(market prob: 54%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_017 OpenAI will likely go public at north of $1 trillion valuation. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	48%
0.79	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.79	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.79	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.79	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.79	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.79	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.79	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.79	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.78	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.78	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.78	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?(market prob: 41%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	247_009 Anthropic's implied valuation could reach $2 trillion in 2026 Dave Blundin	AI	41%
0.78	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-01-30	246_009 SpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need. Alex Wissner-Gross	Markets/Stocks	32%
0.78	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?(market prob: 12%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.78	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-01-30	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.78	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.78	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.78	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?(market prob: 12%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_009 SpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need. Alex Wissner-Gross	Markets/Stocks	32%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.78	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.78	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?(market prob: 59%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	247_009 Anthropic's implied valuation could reach $2 trillion in 2026 Dave Blundin	AI	41%
0.78	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	247_009 Anthropic's implied valuation could reach $2 trillion in 2026 Dave Blundin	AI	41%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-10-29	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.77	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2027 First $1T+ IPO in 2027	ipo_trillion_plus	40%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2027 First $1T+ IPO in 2027	ipo_trillion_plus	40%
0.77	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-06-01	246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	55%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2027 First $1T+ IPO in 2027	ipo_trillion_plus	40%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.77	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-09-22	246_006 OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	37%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.77	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.77	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2027 First $1T+ IPO in 2027	ipo_trillion_plus	40%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-06-01	240_055 Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon Dave Blundin	Markets/Stocks	47%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.76	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-10-29	235_017 OpenAI will likely go public at north of $1 trillion valuation. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	48%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.76	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?(market prob: 59%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	55%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.76	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?(market prob: 54%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_042 OpenAI IPO shares could deliver a 50% pop in 6 months after IPO. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	39%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.76	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?(market prob: 84%)	polymarket 2026-02-02	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-01-30	246_008 Elon Musk will merge SpaceX and XAI (with Tesla) within a year (Peter's view). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	62%
0.76	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.76	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.76	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?(market prob: 41%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	55%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.76	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?(market prob: 8%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	55%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.76	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.76	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.75	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?(market prob: 36%)	polymarket 2026-05-28	246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket	AI	37%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-05	238_052 $100 trillion companies within 5 years (3 years from now, per Diamandis interpretation of Musk) Elon Musk	Markets/Stocks	22%
0.75	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?(market prob: 12%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_008 Elon Musk will merge SpaceX and XAI (with Tesla) within a year (Peter's view). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	62%
0.75	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?(market prob: 84%)	polymarket 2026-02-02	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?(market prob: 4%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-09-22	234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	31%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?(market prob: 88%)	polymarket 2026-06-03	235_008 Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	42%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-10-10	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?(market prob: 4%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.75	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-10-10	235_008 Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	42%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?(market prob: 88%)	polymarket 2026-06-03	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.75	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?(market prob: 54%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	55%
0.75	SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.75	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-09-22	246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	55%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-03-20	235_008 Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	42%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?(market prob: 4%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	235_008 Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	42%
0.75	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-02-18	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.75	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.75	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 22%)	polymarket 2026-02-06	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.75	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?(market prob: 36%)	polymarket 2025-10-24	236_010 5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next day Andrew Yang	Macro/Economy	50%
0.75	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.75	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.75	Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.75	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-03-20	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.75	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?(market prob: 54%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_006 OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	37%
0.75	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-10-29	246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	55%
0.75	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.75	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-05	236_008 First $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come online Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	53%
0.74	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 93%)	polymarket 2026-04-01	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2025-12-29	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-05	248_009 Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. Elon Musk	Macro/Economy	37%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 12%)	polymarket 2025-11-24	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-04-30	246_029 Apple will announce iPhone with Gemini-derived on-device model at WWDC June 2026. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	47%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 93%)	polymarket 2026-04-01	235_002 Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). Dave Blundin	AI	75%
0.74	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 93%)	polymarket 2026-04-01	235_008 Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	42%
0.74	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 18%)	polymarket 2025-11-24	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.74	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?(market prob: 54%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	247_001 xAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summer Peter Diamandis	AI	42%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-02-18	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-06-01	247_009 Anthropic's implied valuation could reach $2 trillion in 2026 Dave Blundin	AI	41%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 16?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-16	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 26?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-26	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-04-30	238_040 Google may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 for Apple OS Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	34%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?(market prob: 41%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	238_051 If Anthropic grows 10x year-over-year two more years, it reaches $2.6T revenue (implying quadrillion-dollar valuation) Dave Blundin	Markets/Stocks	42%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-06	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?(market prob: 8%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2025-11-24	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?(market prob: 4%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 25?(market prob: 4%)	polymarket 2026-06-25	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?(market prob: 8%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 29?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-06-29	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?(market prob: 84%)	polymarket 2026-02-02	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.74	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 93%)	polymarket 2026-04-01	234_012 Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	67%
0.74	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-10-10	235_002 Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). Dave Blundin	AI	75%
0.74	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-03-25	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.74	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-23	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.74	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?(market prob: 4%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.74	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 24?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-24	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.74	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?(market prob: 88%)	polymarket 2026-06-03	235_002 Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). Dave Blundin	AI	75%
0.74	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_006 OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	37%
0.74	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.73	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	235_002 Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). Dave Blundin	AI	75%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	50%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?(market prob: 41%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_006 OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	37%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.73	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.73	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?(market prob: 41%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-10	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?(market prob: 59%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	238_051 If Anthropic grows 10x year-over-year two more years, it reaches $2.6T revenue (implying quadrillion-dollar valuation) Dave Blundin	Markets/Stocks	42%
0.73	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.73	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	238_051 If Anthropic grows 10x year-over-year two more years, it reaches $2.6T revenue (implying quadrillion-dollar valuation) Dave Blundin	Markets/Stocks	42%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-02-03	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?(market prob: 8%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-06-27	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-03-20	235_002 Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026). Dave Blundin	AI	75%
0.73	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?(market prob: 16%)	polymarket 2026-02-08	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?(market prob: 28%)	polymarket 2026-04-28	247_009 Anthropic's implied valuation could reach $2 trillion in 2026 Dave Blundin	AI	41%
0.73	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.73	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 75%)	polymarket 2026-03-27	246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket	AI	37%
0.73	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?(market prob: 59%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	246_006 OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026). Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	37%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-09-22	240_055 Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon Dave Blundin	Markets/Stocks	47%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-11	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?(market prob: 59%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-06-15	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 16%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.73	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.73	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-10-10	234_012 Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	67%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-05	242_003 Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	40%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-06-16	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 19?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-06-19	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-05-15	234_018 GPT-5.3 and 5.5 or higher variants could launch in next 10 weeks Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	38%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 29?(market prob: 37%)	polymarket 2026-06-29	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?(market prob: 60%)	polymarket 2026-06-29	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?(market prob: 88%)	polymarket 2026-06-03	234_012 Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	67%
0.73	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-14	247_028 Musk doesn't care about $100 billion in lawsuit, cares about Sam/Greg departing Dave Blundin	AI	45%
0.73	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?(market prob: 36%)	polymarket 2026-05-28	246_050 Anthropic will release compressed/distilled version of Mythos quickly after initial release. Dave Blundin	AI	50%
0.73	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-20	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 15%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-10	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya	Markets/Stocks	20%
0.73	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?(market prob: 66%)	polymarket 2026-05-15	234_018 GPT-5.3 and 5.5 or higher variants could launch in next 10 weeks Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	38%
0.73	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.73	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 4%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?(market prob: 41%)	polymarket 2026-06-11	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis	Space	31%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-15	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 22?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-22	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?(market prob: 8%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 28?(market prob: 8%)	polymarket 2026-06-28	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	234_012 Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	67%
0.73	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-05	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.73	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley	Markets/Stocks	45%
0.72	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-03-20	234_012 Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	67%
0.72	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?(market prob: 96%)	polymarket 2026-04-30	238_040 Google may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 for Apple OS Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	34%
0.72	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?(market prob: 98%)	polymarket 2026-04-27	238_040 Google may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 for Apple OS Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	34%
0.72	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-09-22	247_009 Anthropic's implied valuation could reach $2 trillion in 2026 Dave Blundin	AI	41%
0.72	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-04-20	240_045 White House to disclose something about aliens/UAPs in the next few months (rumors of June/July/summer) Alex Wissner-Gross	Geopolitics	39%
0.72	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14?(market prob: 30%)	polymarket 2026-06-14	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?(market prob: 51%)	polymarket 2026-06-29	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-12-05	230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk	Macro/Economy	46%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-06-08	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 4?(market prob: 12%)	polymarket 2026-07-04	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 93%)	polymarket 2026-04-01	247_060 Anthropic will win over OpenAI via better/smarter AI regardless of installed base Dave Blundin	AI	50%
0.72	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-04-13	247_060 Anthropic will win over OpenAI via better/smarter AI regardless of installed base Dave Blundin	AI	50%
0.72	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-04-30	235_035 Apple finally launching AI with Gemini integration at WWDC in June 2026. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	22%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 5?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-05	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 27?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-27	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 3?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-07-03	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-06-29	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 8?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-08	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 20?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-06-20	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 30?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-30	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-04-20	240_045 White House to disclose something about aliens/UAPs in the next few months (rumors of June/July/summer) Alex Wissner-Gross	Geopolitics	39%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-05-06	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?(market prob: 33%)	polymarket 2026-05-04	232_021 No chance AI will be paused in the next three years given current administration and China competition. Dave Blundin	Geopolitics	75%
0.72	SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-19	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 21?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-14	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 22?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-22	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-22	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?(market prob: 98%)	polymarket 2026-06-14	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on July 1?(market prob: 69%)	polymarket 2026-07-01	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?(market prob: 83%)	polymarket 2026-05-05	246_029 Apple will announce iPhone with Gemini-derived on-device model at WWDC June 2026. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	47%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-10-10	247_060 Anthropic will win over OpenAI via better/smarter AI regardless of installed base Dave Blundin	AI	50%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-05-15	CMQ_001 By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically useful tasks. Sam Altman	AI	45%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 22-28?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-22	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?(market prob: 76%)	polymarket 2026-06-23	234_018 GPT-5.3 and 5.5 or higher variants could launch in next 10 weeks Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	38%
0.72	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?(market prob: 99%)	polymarket 2026-03-20	247_060 Anthropic will win over OpenAI via better/smarter AI regardless of installed base Dave Blundin	AI	50%
0.72	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?(market prob: 28%)	polymarket 2026-04-28	247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin	AI	40%
0.72	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?(market prob: 30%)	polymarket 2026-06-08	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?(market prob: 50%)	polymarket 2026-06-14	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?(market prob: 66%)	polymarket 2026-05-15	CMQ_001 By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically useful tasks. Sam Altman	AI	45%
0.72	Cerebras IPO before 2027?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2025-11-11	S_IPO_TRILLION_2028 First $1T+ IPO in 2028	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.72	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?(market prob: 83%)	polymarket 2026-05-05	238_040 Google may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 for Apple OS Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	34%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 16?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-16	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on June 1?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-01	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16?(market prob: 6%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?(market prob: 97%)	polymarket 2026-06-16	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-17	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.72	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 24?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-17	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 29?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-04-29	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-06	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-05-19	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-30	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 5?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-05	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-06-11	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026	ipo_trillion_plus	25%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-06-14	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-16	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?(market prob: 74%)	polymarket 2026-06-17	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?(market prob: 10%)	polymarket 2026-06-19	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2026-06-24	246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket	AI	37%
0.71	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?(market prob: 88%)	polymarket 2026-06-03	247_060 Anthropic will win over OpenAI via better/smarter AI regardless of installed base Dave Blundin	AI	50%
0.71	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?(market prob: 16%)	polymarket 2026-02-08	INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor	Crypto	15%
0.71	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-01-14	247_002 Musk v. OpenAI lawsuit will settle with Sam stepping down as CEO and company continuing as for-profit Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?(market prob: 46%)	polymarket 2026-06-04	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis	Markets/Stocks	79%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?(market prob: 97%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-16	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?(market prob: 5%)	polymarket 2025-10-10	248_016 ASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years. Dave Blundin	AI	49%
0.71	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-06-03	235_008 Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months. Alex Wissner-Gross	AI	42%
0.71	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?(market prob: 18%)	polymarket 2026-06-24	246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket	AI	37%
0.71	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 20%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.71	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.71	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-05-30	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 5?(market prob: 2%)	polymarket 2026-06-05	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 7?(market prob: 3%)	polymarket 2026-06-07	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-08	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2025-07-08	236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang	Geopolitics	46%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13?(market prob: 29%)	polymarket 2026-06-13	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?(market prob: 67%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 16?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-09	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-13	246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket	AI	37%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?(market prob: 95%)	polymarket 2026-06-11	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?(market prob: 1%)	polymarket 2026-06-11	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 18?(market prob: 100%)	polymarket 2026-06-11	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?(market prob: 97%)	polymarket 2026-06-13	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?(market prob: 62%)	polymarket 2026-06-16	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?(market prob: 11%)	polymarket 2026-06-17	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?(market prob: 7%)	polymarket 2026-06-22	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?(market prob: 89%)	polymarket 2026-07-01	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-01	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?(market prob: 14%)	polymarket 2026-05-10	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%
0.71	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?(market prob: 0%)	polymarket 2026-05-25	CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor	Crypto	20%