Validations Queue

107,075 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 7 of 36, 100 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.

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Bulk auto-confirm by similarity threshold

Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.

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SimDocSourcePredDomainPrior
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-07-22
231_030
US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited).
Eric Schmidt
Energy49%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-07-22
246_037
50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical equipment shortage and regulation).
Peter Diamandis
AI38%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-07-22
INF_032
Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price...
Seattle Met / Washington State regulators
Macro/Economy54%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-09-24
231_030
US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited).
Eric Schmidt
Energy49%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-09-24
246_037
50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical equipment shortage and regulation).
Peter Diamandis
AI38%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-09-24
INF_032
Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price...
Seattle Met / Washington State regulators
Macro/Economy54%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-01-06
235_025
Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell.
Dave Blundin
Markets/Stocks32%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-01-06
CMQ_022
AGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling.
Elon Musk
AI34%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-03-16
235_025
Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell.
Dave Blundin
Markets/Stocks32%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-03-16
CMQ_022
AGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling.
Elon Musk
AI34%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-03-16
248_019
US data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous orbit / Dyson swarm.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Space12%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-03-16
INF_018
SpaceX will pursue orbital data-center megaconstellations — leveraging 24/7 solar, near-absolute-zero vacuum for passive cooling, and eliminating freshwater consumption constraints of terrestrial facilities.
Elon Musk
Space20%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-28
235_046
Window of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferate widely.
Dave Blundin
Geopolitics15%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-28
235_046
Window of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferate widely.
Dave Blundin
Geopolitics15%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-29
229_014
Figure will be able to make millions of robots via BotQ and future BotQ expansion.
Brett Adcock
Robotics35%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-29
229_015
The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity.
Brett Adcock
Robotics43%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-29
229_016
Figure will scale manufacturing from thousands to tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands to millions of robots per year.
Brett Adcock
Robotics37%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-03-16
229_014
Figure will be able to make millions of robots via BotQ and future BotQ expansion.
Brett Adcock
Robotics35%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-03-16
229_015
The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity.
Brett Adcock
Robotics43%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-03-16
229_016
Figure will scale manufacturing from thousands to tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands to millions of robots per year.
Brett Adcock
Robotics37%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-30
SEM_041
At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity advances).
Brett Adcock
Robotics42%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-01-12
SEM_041
At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity advances).
Brett Adcock
Robotics42%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-03-01
246_013
Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028.
Peter Diamandis
Space28%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-03-01
246_013
Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028.
Peter Diamandis
Space28%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-01
246_013
Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028.
Peter Diamandis
Space28%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-03-31
247_041
AI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditional
Peter Diamandis
Biotech/Longevity55%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-03-04
245_007
Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth
Ben Lamm
Biotech/Longevity45%
0.75codex_research_pack
2025-04-07
245_007
Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth
Ben Lamm
Biotech/Longevity45%
0.75codex_research_pack
2026-04-30
245_007
Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth
Ben Lamm
Biotech/Longevity45%
0.75polymarket
2026-04-13
247_010
Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory
Dave Blundin
AI40%
0.75arxiv
2026-05-04
CMQ_042
As AI evolves from Generative to Agentic, structural computing bottlenecks shift away from GPU and heavily toward CPU and system memory.
Morgan Stanley
AI/Compute35%
0.75arxiv
2026-05-07
CMQ_056
Small Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques will enable localized humanoid reasoning with extreme power efficiency — embedded AI without cloud dependency.
Dario Amodei
AI/Compute19%
0.75arxiv
2026-05-07
IND_006
Trajectory of AI development — and by extension future of American economic labor — will be decided by political outcomes rather than purely technical hurdles. Overly restrictive regulatory regimes threaten to stall frontier science and cede global AI ...
Ben Horowitz
Geopolitics56%
0.75polymarket
2026-05-19
246_005
OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks55%
0.75manifold
2026-05-25
CMQ_007
Anthropic corporate revenue will reach trillions of dollars before 2030.
Dario Amodei
AI41%
0.75manifold
2026-06-01
230_040
AI capability/accuracy will improve recursively; output-checking issues will be eliminated quickly.
Peter Diamandis
AI27%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-01
CYB_006
When AI agents possess the ability to read, write, and restructure their own long-term memory banks dynamically — agentically using tools to explore search spaces, understand context, recognize what's missing, and follow algorithmic curiosity — they cr...
Kevin Weil
AI63%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-04
CYB_006
When AI agents possess the ability to read, write, and restructure their own long-term memory banks dynamically — agentically using tools to explore search spaces, understand context, recognize what's missing, and follow algorithmic curiosity — they cr...
Kevin Weil
AI63%
0.75manifold
2026-06-07
S_IPO_TRILLION_2026
First $1T+ IPO in 2026
ipo_trillion_plus25%
0.75manifold
2026-06-08
240_055
Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon
Dave Blundin
Markets/Stocks47%
0.75polymarket
2026-06-09
SPC_007
SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table.
Chamath Palihapitiya
Markets/Stocks20%
0.75manifold
2026-06-12
246_004
SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks50%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-11
CMQ_063
Quantum compute integration with AI optimization algorithms and material-science discovery could drastically accelerate algorithmic efficiencies for Intelligence Explosion — potentially pulling superintelligence timelines closer.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Quantum/AI15%
0.75polymarket
2026-05-19
246_001
SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks79%
0.75polymarket
2026-05-19
246_001
SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks79%
0.75manifold
2026-06-19
SPC_007
SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table.
Chamath Palihapitiya
Markets/Stocks20%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-22
ROB_013
Research foundations enabling seamless human-robot interaction in complex 3D physical spaces — algorithms translating human natural-language intent directly into complex robotic actuation eliminate hard-coded robotics engineering, allowing systems to g...
Jimmy Ba
Robotics62%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-22
ROB_013
Research foundations enabling seamless human-robot interaction in complex 3D physical spaces — algorithms translating human natural-language intent directly into complex robotic actuation eliminate hard-coded robotics engineering, allowing systems to g...
Jimmy Ba
Robotics62%
0.75polymarket
2025-09-22
246_005
OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks55%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-29
CMQ_063
Quantum compute integration with AI optimization algorithms and material-science discovery could drastically accelerate algorithmic efficiencies for Intelligence Explosion — potentially pulling superintelligence timelines closer.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Quantum/AI15%
0.75manifold
2026-07-01
247_007
Anthropic ARR will reach $1 trillion by end of 2027
Peter Diamandis
AI50%
0.75polymarket
2026-03-20
235_008
Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI42%
0.75manifold
2026-04-29
235_035
Apple finally launching AI with Gemini integration at WWDC in June 2026.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI22%
0.75manifold
2026-04-24
SEM_023
No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027.
Joseph Moore
Semis/Markets53%
0.75manifold
2026-05-12
238_040
Google may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 for Apple OS
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI34%
0.75polymarket
2026-02-03
246_004
SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks50%
0.75manifold
2026-05-25
235_001
Anthropic will be first company to hit $1 trillion in revenue by 2029-2030.
Dave Blundin
AI46%
0.75manifold
2026-06-05
246_020
China will land on moon by 2030 (credible competitive mission).
Alex Wissner-Gross
Geopolitics20%
0.75manifold
2026-06-07
246_005
OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks55%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-07
ROB_027
The 'Paperclip Maximizer' thought experiment — unaligned superintelligence consuming all planetary resources to execute a single mundane task — is being revived as a practical engineering concern as AI transitions from digital to physical domains. The ...
Nick Bostrom
AI40%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-08
CMQ_056
Small Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques will enable localized humanoid reasoning with extreme power efficiency — embedded AI without cloud dependency.
Dario Amodei
AI/Compute19%
0.75polymarket
2026-05-19
246_004
SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks50%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-14
CMQ_056
Small Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques will enable localized humanoid reasoning with extreme power efficiency — embedded AI without cloud dependency.
Dario Amodei
AI/Compute19%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-24
CMQ_047
Autonomous code agents and AutoResearch systems will close the loop on complex scientific experimentation without human-in-the-loop.
Andrej Karpathy
AI51%
0.75manifold
2026-06-28
246_008
Elon Musk will merge SpaceX and XAI (with Tesla) within a year (Peter's view).
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks62%
0.75polymarket
2026-04-13
235_008
Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI42%
0.75manifold
2026-05-01
238_040
Google may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 for Apple OS
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI34%
0.75manifold
2026-05-08
235_002
Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026).
Dave Blundin
AI75%
0.75arxiv
2026-05-07
CMQ_063
Quantum compute integration with AI optimization algorithms and material-science discovery could drastically accelerate algorithmic efficiencies for Intelligence Explosion — potentially pulling superintelligence timelines closer.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Quantum/AI15%
0.75polymarket
2026-02-18
CMQ_060
Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US.
Michael Saylor
Crypto20%
0.75polymarket
2026-05-20
246_004
SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks50%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-04
CMQ_056
Small Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques will enable localized humanoid reasoning with extreme power efficiency — embedded AI without cloud dependency.
Dario Amodei
AI/Compute19%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-03
238_070
Small language models will be where most algorithmic breakthroughs come from (crowdsourced)
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI42%
0.75polymarket
2025-12-10
246_004
SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks50%
0.75manifold
2026-06-09
236_008
First $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come online
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks53%
0.75polymarket
2026-01-23
242_007
Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value
Prediction markets
Markets/Stocks45%
0.75manifold
2026-06-12
INF_018
SpaceX will pursue orbital data-center megaconstellations — leveraging 24/7 solar, near-absolute-zero vacuum for passive cooling, and eliminating freshwater consumption constraints of terrestrial facilities.
Elon Musk
Space20%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-11
CMQ_063
Quantum compute integration with AI optimization algorithms and material-science discovery could drastically accelerate algorithmic efficiencies for Intelligence Explosion — potentially pulling superintelligence timelines closer.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Quantum/AI15%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-11
AUT_010
As models transition from passive advisors to active multi-step task executors across digital networks, potential for catastrophic systemic failure scales exponentially — without rigorous legislative oversight + embedded algorithmic surveillance, auton...
Daniella Amodei
AI56%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-11
CYB_019
Deployment of 'world model systems' — AI that accurately simulates and anticipates the physical and thermodynamic dynamics of reality — serves as the critical foundational training ground for embodied agents, letting them experience billions of hours o...
Demis Hassabis
Robotics44%
0.75manifold
2026-06-12
246_002
SpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025).
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks38%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-15
AUT_010
As models transition from passive advisors to active multi-step task executors across digital networks, potential for catastrophic systemic failure scales exponentially — without rigorous legislative oversight + embedded algorithmic surveillance, auton...
Daniella Amodei
AI56%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-23
INF_049
Modern AI data centers are no longer server farms but "gigawatt factories"; energy — not silicon supply — has become the absolute primary bottleneck for AI scalability, and these concentrated power needs cannot be reliably connected to existing public ...
Jensen Huang
Energy50%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-24
ROB_013
Research foundations enabling seamless human-robot interaction in complex 3D physical spaces — algorithms translating human natural-language intent directly into complex robotic actuation eliminate hard-coded robotics engineering, allowing systems to g...
Jimmy Ba
Robotics62%
0.75polymarket
2026-02-06
CMQ_060
Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US.
Michael Saylor
Crypto20%
0.75arxiv
2026-05-04
ROB_013
Research foundations enabling seamless human-robot interaction in complex 3D physical spaces — algorithms translating human natural-language intent directly into complex robotic actuation eliminate hard-coded robotics engineering, allowing systems to g...
Jimmy Ba
Robotics62%
0.75polymarket
2025-10-24
236_010
5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next day
Andrew Yang
Macro/Economy50%
0.75manifold
2026-05-11
236_003
Jobs will get whisked away in many firms in 2026
Andrew Yang
Labor/Jobs49%
0.75manifold
2026-05-18
242_003
Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks40%
0.75polymarket
2026-05-20
246_004
SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks50%
0.75manifold
2026-06-05
SEM_006
OpenAI will operate at a ~$9B deficit in 2025, driven almost entirely by advanced-chip acquisition and facility construction.
Sam Altman
AI/Finance64%
0.75manifold
2026-06-05
234_012
Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks67%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-08
INF_049
Modern AI data centers are no longer server farms but "gigawatt factories"; energy — not silicon supply — has become the absolute primary bottleneck for AI scalability, and these concentrated power needs cannot be reliably connected to existing public ...
Jensen Huang
Energy50%
0.75manifold
2026-06-10
SPC_012
SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical prerequisite for future Mars missions, enabling Starship depot-based beyond-LEO operations.
Peter Diamandis
Space41%
0.75polymarket
2026-03-25
242_007
Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value
Prediction markets
Markets/Stocks45%
0.75polymarket
2026-06-09
235_016
SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026).
Peter Diamandis
Space31%
0.75manifold
2026-06-14
247_006
Anthropic ARR will reach $100 billion by end of 2026
Peter Diamandis
AI50%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-18
ROB_013
Research foundations enabling seamless human-robot interaction in complex 3D physical spaces — algorithms translating human natural-language intent directly into complex robotic actuation eliminate hard-coded robotics engineering, allowing systems to g...
Jimmy Ba
Robotics62%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-18
CYB_006
When AI agents possess the ability to read, write, and restructure their own long-term memory banks dynamically — agentically using tools to explore search spaces, understand context, recognize what's missing, and follow algorithmic curiosity — they cr...
Kevin Weil
AI63%
0.75arxiv
2026-06-24
232_060
We'll see exponential growth of AI multis (agents) autonomously self-replicating, using crypto.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI20%