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111,300 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 42 of 149, 200 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.
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| Sim | Doc | Source | Pred | Domain | Prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?(market prob: 37%) | polymarket 2026-06-18 | TK12 Crypto Regulatory Kill Shot (Stablecoin Ban / BTC ETF Reversal) | — | 8% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?(market prob: 97%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?(market prob: 97%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-24 | FUT_024 XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr... Superforecaster Community | AI | 100% | |
| 0.63 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | S_AI_PAUSE_2027 AI pause beginning 2027 | ai_regulatory_pause | 10% | |
| 0.63 | Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?(market prob: 94%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | S_AI_PAUSE_2027 AI pause beginning 2027 | ai_regulatory_pause | 10% | |
| 0.63 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-01-29 | SEM_023 No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027. Joseph Moore | Semis/Markets | 53% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 23?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | TK12 Crypto Regulatory Kill Shot (Stablecoin Ban / BTC ETF Reversal) | — | 8% | |
| 0.63 | polymarket 2026-01-07 | SEM_017 TSMC will produce over 10M wafers/month total in 2026, including ~100K/mo at 2nm and ~200K/mo at 3nm. TSMC (All-In Podcast analysis) | Semis | 59% | ||
| 0.63 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-09-29 | S_RECESSION_2027 NBER recession declared 2027 | macro_recession | 30% | |
| 0.63 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-09-29 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?(market prob: 75%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 25?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-18 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 25?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-18 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?(market prob: 22%) | polymarket 2026-04-06 | FUT_024 XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr... Superforecaster Community | AI | 100% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | 247_040 AI agents will invent their own currencies, won't stick with Bitcoin Alex Wissner-Gross | Crypto | 16% | |
| 0.63 | Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-02-02 | 246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 79% | |
| 0.63 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?(market prob: 26%) | polymarket 2026-04-06 | 240_046 Public interest in any alien disclosure will fade within one or two days Alex Wissner-Gross | Media/Ads | 43% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-21 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-12-16 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.63 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01?(market prob: 72%) | polymarket 2026-06-26 | SEM_023 No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027. Joseph Moore | Semis/Markets | 53% | |
| 0.63 | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?(market prob: 86%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?(market prob: 23%) | polymarket 2026-06-26 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?(market prob: 60%) | polymarket 2026-06-21 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 29?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-22 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?(market prob: 10%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?(market prob: 46%) | polymarket 2026-06-28 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will France win on 2026-07-04?(market prob: 83%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on July 1?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on July 1?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2028 First $1T+ IPO in 2028 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 247_040 AI agents will invent their own currencies, won't stick with Bitcoin Alex Wissner-Gross | Crypto | 16% | |
| 0.63 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06?(market prob: 37%) | polymarket 2026-07-02 | SEM_023 No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027. Joseph Moore | Semis/Markets | 53% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 4?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?(market prob: 9%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 5?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-28 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 4?(market prob: 12%) | polymarket 2026-07-04 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will France win on 2026-07-09?(market prob: 63%) | polymarket 2026-07-05 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?(market prob: 32%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | SEM_023 No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027. Joseph Moore | Semis/Markets | 53% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?(market prob: 8%) | polymarket 2026-06-30 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-30 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?(market prob: 59%) | polymarket 2026-07-03 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-30 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.63 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8?(market prob: 31%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-17 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.63 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-17 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.63 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-17 | 242_039 NASA will imminently find >90% probability evidence of microbial life on Mars Jared Isaacman (NASA administrator) | Space | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-04-23 | SEM_039 Block unveiled proprietary Bitcoin mining ASIC at 709 Terahashes/second (TH/s) — leading indicator for eventual AI inference ASIC trajectory. Jack Dorsey | Semis/ASICs | 83% | |
| 0.63 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-20 | 242_039 NASA will imminently find >90% probability evidence of microbial life on Mars Jared Isaacman (NASA administrator) | Space | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-10 | 236_012 An independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacks Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 51% | |
| 0.63 | polymarket 2025-07-11 | 235_007 AI regulation window is this calendar year 2026 before chaos breaks out. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 19% | ||
| 0.63 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-12-10 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Xi Jinping out before 2027?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 232_021 No chance AI will be paused in the next three years given current administration and China competition. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 75% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?(market prob: 66%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Games Total: O/U 2.5(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-09 | FUT_024 XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr... Superforecaster Community | AI | 100% | |
| 0.63 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-09-29 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-09-17 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-04-24 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | polymarket 2025-10-10 | 246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 79% | ||
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?(market prob: 27%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.63 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-07-21 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-08 | 234_035 Massive social unrest will come before the next US presidential election Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 36% | |
| 0.63 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-08 | COD_SPC_002 The next US crewed lunar surface landing occurs on Artemis IV in 2028 Codex Research Pack | Space | 22% | |
| 0.63 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 20%) | polymarket 2025-07-08 | 234_035 Massive social unrest will come before the next US presidential election Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 36% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?(market prob: 67%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?(market prob: 55%) | polymarket 2026-05-03 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?(market prob: 42%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?(market prob: 42%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?(market prob: 68%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-08 | 234_035 Massive social unrest will come before the next US presidential election Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 36% | |
| 0.63 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-07-10 | 236_012 An independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacks Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 51% | |
| 0.63 | Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-07-28 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Fed rate hike in 2026?(market prob: 50%) | polymarket 2025-12-10 | 239_004 xAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026 Elon Musk | AI | 40% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 34%) | polymarket 2025-11-24 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.63 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?(market prob: 50%) | polymarket 2025-05-02 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 12?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?(market prob: 77%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?(market prob: 30%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | 247_001 xAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summer Peter Diamandis | AI | 42% | |
| 0.63 | Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)(market prob: 50%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5(market prob: 49%) | polymarket 2026-05-10 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-09-29 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | SEM_025 Morgan Stanley price target $250 for Nvidia — representing 32% upside from current levels. Joseph Moore | Capital Markets | 45% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?(market prob: 94%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?(market prob: 98%) | polymarket 2026-05-10 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-10 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5(market prob: 54%) | polymarket 2026-05-18 | 234_012 Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 67% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?(market prob: 69%) | polymarket 2026-05-18 | TK12 Crypto Regulatory Kill Shot (Stablecoin Ban / BTC ETF Reversal) | — | 8% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-05-14 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-09 | INF_068 2026 will be a watershed year for state and institutional Bitcoin accumulation — nations will drive a sustained Bitcoin shopping spree, formalizing digital assets as reserve infrastructure. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 29% | |
| 0.63 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | 247_001 xAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summer Peter Diamandis | AI | 42% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?(market prob: 9%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-23 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?(market prob: 12%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-10-09 | SEM_023 No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027. Joseph Moore | Semis/Markets | 53% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 1?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | INF_068 2026 will be a watershed year for state and institutional Bitcoin accumulation — nations will drive a sustained Bitcoin shopping spree, formalizing digital assets as reserve infrastructure. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 29% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?(market prob: 8%) | polymarket 2026-05-27 | SEM_039 Block unveiled proprietary Bitcoin mining ASIC at 709 Terahashes/second (TH/s) — leading indicator for eventual AI inference ASIC trajectory. Jack Dorsey | Semis/ASICs | 83% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-28 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 5?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?(market prob: 26%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?(market prob: 34%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will CDT RealOruro win on 2026-06-21?(market prob: 47%) | polymarket 2026-05-25 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?(market prob: 14%) | polymarket 2025-09-29 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?(market prob: 27%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7?(market prob: 76%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-05-31 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 7?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-31 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 8?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?(market prob: 95%) | polymarket 2026-01-15 | SEM_023 No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027. Joseph Moore | Semis/Markets | 53% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8?(market prob: 91%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 1-7?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | TK12 Crypto Regulatory Kill Shot (Stablecoin Ban / BTC ETF Reversal) | — | 8% | |
| 0.63 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 7?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-07 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2028 First $1T+ IPO in 2028 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8?(market prob: 7%) | polymarket 2026-06-08 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-03 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?(market prob: 7%) | polymarket 2026-06-03 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2028 First $1T+ IPO in 2028 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11?(market prob: 36%) | polymarket 2026-06-11 | 242_007 Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value Prediction markets | Markets/Stocks | 45% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.63 | Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?(market prob: 41%) | polymarket 2026-06-11 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?(market prob: 63%) | polymarket 2026-06-12 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.63 | Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5(market prob: 33%) | polymarket 2026-05-21 | FUT_024 XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr... Superforecaster Community | AI | 100% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14?(market prob: 8%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?(market prob: 17%) | polymarket 2026-04-06 | FUT_024 XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr... Superforecaster Community | AI | 100% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?(market prob: 77%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?(market prob: 77%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.63 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?(market prob: 19%) | polymarket 2026-04-06 | 240_046 Public interest in any alien disclosure will fade within one or two days Alex Wissner-Gross | Media/Ads | 43% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?(market prob: 97%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?(market prob: 19%) | polymarket 2026-04-06 | 240_046 Public interest in any alien disclosure will fade within one or two days Alex Wissner-Gross | Media/Ads | 43% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-11 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?(market prob: 14%) | polymarket 2026-04-06 | 240_046 Public interest in any alien disclosure will fade within one or two days Alex Wissner-Gross | Media/Ads | 43% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-12 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 20?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 20?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 20?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | 248_010 AI capabilities will advance 100x in 2026 (by summer, potentially more). Dave Blundin | AI | 20% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Exact Score: Any Other Score?(market prob: 28%) | polymarket 2026-05-21 | FUT_024 XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr... Superforecaster Community | AI | 100% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?(market prob: 98%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?(market prob: 50%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 21?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?(market prob: 89%) | polymarket 2026-04-06 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | 236_011 Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 24?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-17 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | AI_021 The 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment — millions of mid-career professionals (junior software developers, legal analysts, corporate marketers) lose jobs within a 12-18 month timeframe; resulting unemployment casca... Andrew Yang | Labor/Jobs | 46% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Exact Score: Any Other Score?(market prob: 11%) | polymarket 2026-05-21 | FUT_024 XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr... Superforecaster Community | AI | 100% | |
| 0.63 | Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | 235_006 By end of 2026 AI will enable creating any virus or nuclear weapon via AI agent. Dave Blundin | AI | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | FUT_009 Wars 2026-2031 pivot decisively from ideological struggles to brutal localized conflicts over critical physical inputs — specifically energy, copper, and agricultural fertilizers. Global geopolitical map fractures into highly regionalized spheres of in... Peter Zeihan | Geopolitics | 42% | |
| 0.63 | Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-11-12 | S_AGI_WINTER_2036PLUS AGI delayed: capability plateau or AI winter | agi_general_capability | 10% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-17 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 24?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-17 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.63 | Will Solana dip to $20 in June?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2025-09-29 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 26?(market prob: 92%) | polymarket 2026-06-19 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.63 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?(market prob: 67%) | polymarket 2026-06-24 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 27?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?(market prob: 48%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 28?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-21 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 29?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-22 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?(market prob: 44%) | polymarket 2026-06-28 | 246_022 Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%). PolyMarket | AI | 37% | |
| 0.63 | Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?(market prob: 94%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.63 | Will STRC hit $100 by June 30?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-19 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.63 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% |