Validations Queue
111,300 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 29 of 149, 200 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.
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Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.
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| Sim | Doc | Source | Pred | Domain | Prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?(market prob: 65%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in June?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 235_041 Anthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 28% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 17?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | S_MARS_2031PLUS Mars uncrewed: 2031+ transfer window or further delay | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-12 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 7%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 230_022 Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years. Elon Musk | Robotics | 22% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-12 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-06-19 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 20?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 24?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-17 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 230_022 Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years. Elon Musk | Robotics | 22% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?(market prob: 62%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 67%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 67%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?(market prob: 74%) | polymarket 2026-06-17 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?(market prob: 13%) | polymarket 2026-06-22 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 8%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.66 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | TK06 China-Taiwan Military Conflict | — | 8% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?(market prob: 60%) | polymarket 2026-06-21 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 65%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-24 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 1?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-24 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-26 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?(market prob: 23%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?(market prob: 84%) | polymarket 2026-06-29 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?(market prob: 84%) | polymarket 2026-06-29 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 5?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-28 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?(market prob: 29%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-02 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-07-06 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 10?(market prob: 89%) | polymarket 2026-07-03 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on July 7?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-07 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?(market prob: 90%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-04 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 7?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-07-07 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-07-02 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-04-23 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | polymarket 2025-10-10 | 246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 79% | ||
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-21 | 246_011 Elon will feel Grok is ready to take over as CEO in next few years. Dave Blundin | AI | 42% | |
| 0.65 | Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-02 | SPC_002 A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o... Morgan Stanley | Markets/Stocks | 45% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-04-24 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?(market prob: 97%) | polymarket 2026-04-25 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | 248_009 Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 37% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-27 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 5?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-03-13 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.65 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-03-13 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?(market prob: 11%) | polymarket 2026-04-28 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-30 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-05-01 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2025-07-08 | 236_012 An independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacks Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 51% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-04 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?(market prob: 55%) | polymarket 2026-05-02 | 230_022 Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years. Elon Musk | Robotics | 22% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-05 | 246_011 Elon will feel Grok is ready to take over as CEO in next few years. Dave Blundin | AI | 42% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on May 13?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-13 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?(market prob: 98%) | polymarket 2026-05-07 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-05-09 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?(market prob: 14%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-05-11 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-14 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-05-12 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-05-13 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-24 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?(market prob: 70%) | polymarket 2026-03-24 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-23 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-03-24 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?(market prob: 43%) | polymarket 2026-05-25 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?(market prob: 82%) | polymarket 2026-05-27 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 26%) | polymarket 2025-11-24 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 26%) | polymarket 2025-11-24 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2028 First $1T+ IPO in 2028 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?(market prob: 16%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?(market prob: 7%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?(market prob: 64%) | polymarket 2026-05-26 | 246_011 Elon will feel Grok is ready to take over as CEO in next few years. Dave Blundin | AI | 42% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?(market prob: 7%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?(market prob: 98%) | polymarket 2026-05-29 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 7?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-31 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-01-06 | FUT_009 Wars 2026-2031 pivot decisively from ideological struggles to brutal localized conflicts over critical physical inputs — specifically energy, copper, and agricultural fertilizers. Global geopolitical map fractures into highly regionalized spheres of in... Peter Zeihan | Geopolitics | 42% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-08 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-07 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | INF_068 2026 will be a watershed year for state and institutional Bitcoin accumulation — nations will drive a sustained Bitcoin shopping spree, formalizing digital assets as reserve infrastructure. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 29% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 230_022 Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years. Elon Musk | Robotics | 22% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 21?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 21?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-06-21 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-02-02 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2027 First $1T+ IPO in 2027 | ipo_trillion_plus | 40% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 22?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-22 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 246_011 Elon will feel Grok is ready to take over as CEO in next few years. Dave Blundin | AI | 42% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 23?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 26?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-19 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 32%) | polymarket 2026-02-05 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 26?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-26 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | 235_016 SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | 246_011 Elon will feel Grok is ready to take over as CEO in next few years. Dave Blundin | AI | 42% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-06-24 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on July 1?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?(market prob: 77%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-26 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?(market prob: 55%) | polymarket 2026-07-03 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-29 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 5?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-28 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?(market prob: 29%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?(market prob: 29%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-29 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-07-02 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 6?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-29 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-04 | 230_022 Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years. Elon Musk | Robotics | 22% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-04 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 7?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-30 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 7?(market prob: 79%) | polymarket 2026-07-05 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 6?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-07-06 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 6?(market prob: 18%) | polymarket 2026-07-06 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-04 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.65 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-07-06 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.65 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?(market prob: 95%) | polymarket 2026-04-23 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-04-02 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.65 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?(market prob: 14%) | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 236_012 An independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacks Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 51% | |
| 0.65 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-02-13 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-03-09 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.65 | polymarket 2025-07-03 | 236_012 An independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacks Andrew Yang | Geopolitics | 51% |