Validations Queue
106,328 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 4 of 4, 51 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.
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Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.
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| Sim | Doc | Source | Pred | Domain | Prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-07-22 | 231_030 US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited). Eric Schmidt | Energy | 49% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-07-22 | 246_037 50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical equipment shortage and regulation). Peter Diamandis | AI | 38% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-07-22 | INF_032 Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price... Seattle Met / Washington State regulators | Macro/Economy | 54% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-24 | 231_030 US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited). Eric Schmidt | Energy | 49% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-24 | 246_037 50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical equipment shortage and regulation). Peter Diamandis | AI | 38% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-24 | INF_032 Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price... Seattle Met / Washington State regulators | Macro/Economy | 54% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-06 | 235_025 Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 32% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-06 | CMQ_022 AGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling. Elon Musk | AI | 34% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | 235_025 Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 32% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | CMQ_022 AGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling. Elon Musk | AI | 34% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | 248_019 US data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous orbit / Dyson swarm. Alex Wissner-Gross | Space | 12% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | INF_018 SpaceX will pursue orbital data-center megaconstellations — leveraging 24/7 solar, near-absolute-zero vacuum for passive cooling, and eliminating freshwater consumption constraints of terrestrial facilities. Elon Musk | Space | 20% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 235_046 Window of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferate widely. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 15% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 235_046 Window of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferate widely. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 15% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | 229_014 Figure will be able to make millions of robots via BotQ and future BotQ expansion. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 35% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | 229_015 The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 43% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | 229_016 Figure will scale manufacturing from thousands to tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands to millions of robots per year. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 37% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | 229_014 Figure will be able to make millions of robots via BotQ and future BotQ expansion. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 35% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | 229_015 The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 43% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | 229_016 Figure will scale manufacturing from thousands to tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands to millions of robots per year. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 37% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | SEM_041 At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity advances). Brett Adcock | Robotics | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-12 | SEM_041 At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity advances). Brett Adcock | Robotics | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_013 Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. Peter Diamandis | Space | 28% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_013 Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. Peter Diamandis | Space | 28% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-01 | 246_013 Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. Peter Diamandis | Space | 28% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-31 | 247_041 AI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditional Peter Diamandis | Biotech/Longevity | 55% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | 245_007 Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-04-07 | 245_007 Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 245_007 Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-04-13 | 247_010 Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory Dave Blundin | AI | 40% | |
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-05-04 | CMQ_042 As AI evolves from Generative to Agentic, structural computing bottlenecks shift away from GPU and heavily toward CPU and system memory. Morgan Stanley | AI/Compute | 35% | ||
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-05-07 | CMQ_056 Small Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques will enable localized humanoid reasoning with extreme power efficiency — embedded AI without cloud dependency. Dario Amodei | AI/Compute | 19% | ||
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-05-07 | IND_006 Trajectory of AI development — and by extension future of American economic labor — will be decided by political outcomes rather than purely technical hurdles. Overly restrictive regulatory regimes threaten to stall frontier science and cede global AI ... Ben Horowitz | Geopolitics | 56% | ||
| 0.75 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?(market prob: 54%) | polymarket 2026-05-19 | 246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 55% | |
| 0.75 | manifold 2026-05-25 | CMQ_007 Anthropic corporate revenue will reach trillions of dollars before 2030. Dario Amodei | AI | 41% | ||
| 0.75 | Will AI continue to improve?(market prob: 84%) | manifold 2026-06-01 | 230_040 AI capability/accuracy will improve recursively; output-checking issues will be eliminated quickly. Peter Diamandis | AI | 27% | |
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-06-01 | CYB_006 When AI agents possess the ability to read, write, and restructure their own long-term memory banks dynamically — agentically using tools to explore search spaces, understand context, recognize what's missing, and follow algorithmic curiosity — they cr... Kevin Weil | AI | 63% | ||
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-06-04 | CYB_006 When AI agents possess the ability to read, write, and restructure their own long-term memory banks dynamically — agentically using tools to explore search spaces, understand context, recognize what's missing, and follow algorithmic curiosity — they cr... Kevin Weil | AI | 63% | ||
| 0.75 | manifold 2026-06-07 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | ||
| 0.75 | manifold 2026-06-08 | 240_055 Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 47% | ||
| 0.75 | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya | Markets/Stocks | 20% | |
| 0.75 | Will a share of SpaceX be worth $150 or more one year after IPO?(market prob: 64%) | manifold 2026-06-12 | 246_004 SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 50% | |
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-06-11 | CMQ_063 Quantum compute integration with AI optimization algorithms and material-science discovery could drastically accelerate algorithmic efficiencies for Intelligence Explosion — potentially pulling superintelligence timelines closer. Alex Wissner-Gross | Quantum/AI | 15% | ||
| 0.75 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?(market prob: 11%) | polymarket 2026-05-19 | 246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 79% | |
| 0.75 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-05-19 | 246_001 SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 79% | |
| 0.75 | manifold 2026-06-19 | SPC_007 SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company will go public via a reverse merger with Tesla, allowing Musk to consolidate control and power over his two seminal assets into a single capitalization table. Chamath Palihapitiya | Markets/Stocks | 20% | ||
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-06-22 | ROB_013 Research foundations enabling seamless human-robot interaction in complex 3D physical spaces — algorithms translating human natural-language intent directly into complex robotic actuation eliminate hard-coded robotics engineering, allowing systems to g... Jimmy Ba | Robotics | 62% | ||
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-06-22 | ROB_013 Research foundations enabling seamless human-robot interaction in complex 3D physical spaces — algorithms translating human natural-language intent directly into complex robotic actuation eliminate hard-coded robotics engineering, allowing systems to g... Jimmy Ba | Robotics | 62% | ||
| 0.75 | Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2025-09-22 | 246_005 OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 55% | |
| 0.75 | arxiv 2026-06-29 | CMQ_063 Quantum compute integration with AI optimization algorithms and material-science discovery could drastically accelerate algorithmic efficiencies for Intelligence Explosion — potentially pulling superintelligence timelines closer. Alex Wissner-Gross | Quantum/AI | 15% | ||
| 0.75 | Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027?(market prob: 61%) | manifold 2026-07-01 | 247_007 Anthropic ARR will reach $1 trillion by end of 2027 Peter Diamandis | AI | 50% |