Predictions
1,806 of 1,806 predictions match — page 28 of 37. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMCI_V_20260706 | short_horizon_breakout | — | V >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-06 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-06 – 2026-07-13 |
| PMCI_ABSI_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ABSI >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_ACHR_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ACHR >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_ACM_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ACM >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_ADSK_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ADSK >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AGX_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AGX >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AI_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AI >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_ALL_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ALL >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AMAT_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AMAT >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AMPX_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AMPX >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AMRC_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AMRC >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AMZN_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AMZN >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_ARQQ_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ARQQ >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_ATKR_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ATKR >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AVAH_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AVAH >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_AVAV_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AVAV >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_CRWV_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | CRWV >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_FROG_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | FROG >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| PMCI_GOLD_20260707 | short_horizon_breakout | — | GOLD >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-07-07 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-14 |
| COD_AI_003 | Geopolitics | EU-AI-Act-compliance | EU AI Act GPAI enforcement powers begin on 2026-08-02 without a blanket delay | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 72.0% | pending | 2026-08-02 – 2026-08-02 |
| 238_005 | AI | AI-timing | By September 2026 there will be 1000+ ultra-high-inspirational-quality videos… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-09-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 241_047 | Education | AI-timing | Universities should create prompt engineering course starting September for a… | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-09-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| COD_AI_002 | AI/Compute | gigawatt-cluster | At least one 1 GW Vera Rubin frontier-training cluster reaches deployment by … | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 52.0% | pending | 2026-10-01 – 2027-03-31 |
| FUT_001 | AI | LLM-human-forecasting-parity-Nov-2026 | Algorithmic systems (LLMs) will match the accuracy of the world's most elite … | Superforecaster Community | 5/5 | A | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-11-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| COD_AI_004 | AI | autonomous-agents | Frontier agents reach one-workday autonomous task horizon by end 2027 | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 55.0% | pending | 2026-12-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| COD_SPC_004 | Space | Europa-Clipper | Europa Clipper completes Earth gravity assist in December 2026 | Codex Research Pack | 5/5 | — | 95.0% | pending | 2026-12-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 229_021 | Robotics | humanoids | In 2027, Figure will be on the path to ship robots into users' homes and iter… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 229_023 | Robotics | humanoids | First Figure robot in a customer's home expected 2027-2029 timeframe. | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 231_005 | AI | AI-timing | Next year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 231_036 | Space | AI-timing | Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 231_054 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Uncertain whether people will have any purpose at all a year from today. | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 232_001 | AI | AI-timing | Societal change across non-Silicon Valley companies taking 1-5 years is too a… | Ben Horowitz | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2031-08-31 |
| 233_004 | AI | AI-timing | AI will be able to bootstrap four-year-olds into reading within roughly 18 mo… | Joe Liemandt | 3/5 | D | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 234_003 | AI | AI-timing | Within 1-2 years we will look back and wonder why training was centralized wh… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-08-31 |
| 234_021 | AI | AI-scaling | OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 234_034 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Andrew Yang predicts 20-50% of 70M US white collar workers could be displaced… | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 234_037 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | Civilizational left turns will hit us in the next 1-2 years | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 235_033 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Chinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 236_005 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Anthropic predicts 50% of entry-level white collar jobs automated in 1-5 years | Dario Amodei / Anthropic | 4/5 | D | 55.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2031-12-31 |
| 236_018 | Macro/Economy | economy | UBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 years | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2034-12-31 |
| 236_023 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | AI will replace white-collar jobs: 20-50% of 70M US office workers in 12-18 m… | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 238_016 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure CEO Brett Adcock will appear at Abundance Summit next year (2027) with… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_033 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Meta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario) | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 238_070 | AI | AI-scaling | Small language models will be where most algorithmic breakthroughs come from … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-08-31 |
| 240_012 | AI | AI-timing | Neutrino-based communication will give ultra-low latency through the Earth in… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 240_037 | Auto/Transport | humanoids | Amazon Zoox Robotaxi will launch in LA in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 241_003 | AI | AI-scaling | Human-like computer agents NOT achievable within a year or two - science does… | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-08-31 |
| 241_014 | AI | AI-timing | The world a year from today will be nothing like the world today | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 241_039 | AI | AI-timing | In a year we'll know better which AI labs pull ahead | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 242_011 | AI | AI-scaling | New non-lithography semiconductor techniques discovered within 1-2 years, man… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2033-09-30 |