Validations Queue
114,087 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 54 of 304, 100 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.
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Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.
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| Sim | Doc | Source | Pred | Domain | Prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?(market prob: 18%) | polymarket 2025-11-24 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | 248_009 Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 37% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?(market prob: 21%) | polymarket 2026-05-30 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?(market prob: 31%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?(market prob: 31%) | polymarket 2026-06-04 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8?(market prob: 91%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-07 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-02 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?(market prob: 18%) | polymarket 2026-06-05 | 239_002 AI recursive self-improvement will be fully automated by end of 2026 or 2027 at latest Elon Musk | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?(market prob: 4%) | polymarket 2026-06-08 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-08 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?(market prob: 24%) | polymarket 2026-06-08 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?(market prob: 24%) | polymarket 2026-06-08 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 7%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-06 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 230_022 Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years. Elon Musk | Robotics | 22% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?(market prob: 99%) | polymarket 2026-06-10 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?(market prob: 95%) | polymarket 2026-06-11 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-11 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?(market prob: 43%) | polymarket 2026-06-09 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?(market prob: 77%) | polymarket 2026-06-12 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?(market prob: 34%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?(market prob: 34%) | polymarket 2026-06-15 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 21?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-14 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 56%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?(market prob: 56%) | polymarket 2026-06-13 | 246_011 Elon will feel Grok is ready to take over as CEO in next few years. Dave Blundin | AI | 42% | |
| 0.66 | Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-02-02 | 247_001 xAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summer Peter Diamandis | AI | 42% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-18 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-02-02 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?(market prob: 58%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?(market prob: 96%) | polymarket 2026-06-17 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 26?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-19 | S_IPO_TRILLION_2026 First $1T+ IPO in 2026 | ipo_trillion_plus | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?(market prob: 33%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?(market prob: 5%) | polymarket 2026-06-16 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?(market prob: 2%) | polymarket 2026-06-18 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 234_015 Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months Peter Diamandis | Markets/Stocks | 31% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 39%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 246_023 Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket. PolyMarket | AI | 43% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?(market prob: 16%) | polymarket 2026-06-22 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 26?(market prob: 3%) | polymarket 2026-06-26 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 28?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-21 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 28?(market prob: 1%) | polymarket 2026-06-21 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-22 | CMQ_060 Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US. Michael Saylor | Crypto | 20% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?(market prob: 73%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | 231_038 TSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long. Dave Blundin | AI | 44% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-20 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?(market prob: 26%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-25 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | SPC_008 SpaceX milestone-delivery statistics: 16% on-time, 31% late, 53% undelivered overall — planetary milestones exhibit 0% on-time record (every dated Mars prediction since 2011 missed). Industry heuristic: multiply rocket/capsule engineering announced tim... New Market Pitch | Space | 70% | |
| 0.66 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?(market prob: 100%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | INF_069 Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an... Michael Saylor | Crypto | 15% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?(market prob: 6%) | polymarket 2026-06-27 | 230_009 US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk. Elon Musk | Macro/Economy | 46% | |
| 0.66 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?(market prob: 58%) | polymarket 2026-06-23 | S_MARS_2026 Mars uncrewed: 2026 transfer window | mars_uncrewed_landing | 25% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?(market prob: 35%) | polymarket 2026-07-01 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% | |
| 0.66 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?(market prob: 0%) | polymarket 2026-06-29 | 231_051 Entire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost. Salim Ismail | Crypto | 48% |