Validations Queue

108,318 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 12 of 22, 100 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.

Pending (total)
108,318
Reviewed
13
Filtered
2,114
page 12 / 22
Showing on page
100

Filters

URL params control source + min-similarity threshold
Page size

Bulk auto-confirm by similarity threshold

Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.

Source0 selected · 0 visible
Bulk action
SimDocSourcePredDomainPrior
0.68manifold
2026-06-13
234_021
OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027
Peter Diamandis
AI50%
0.68manifold
2026-06-14
246_022
Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%).
PolyMarket
AI37%
0.68manifold
2026-06-15
AI_021
The 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment — millions of mid-career professionals (junior software developers, legal analysts, corporate marketers) lose jobs within a 12-18 month timeframe; resulting unemployment casca...
Andrew Yang
Labor/Jobs46%
0.68manifold
2026-06-17
240_020
New architecture won't map to current NVIDIA architecture; will create next Anthropic/OpenAI
Dave Blundin
AI46%
0.68manifold
2026-06-17
246_001
SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks79%
0.68manifold
2026-06-17
246_015
Elon will launch Starship toward Mars this year (2026, cited from Elon).
Elon Musk
Space36%
0.68manifold
2026-06-21
247_006
Anthropic ARR will reach $100 billion by end of 2026
Peter Diamandis
AI50%
0.68manifold
2026-06-21
235_016
SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026).
Peter Diamandis
Space31%
0.68manifold
2026-06-22
S_NO_AI_PAUSE_5Y
No major AI pause through 2031
ai_regulatory_pause75%
0.68manifold
2026-06-30
IND_016
By late 2026, SpaceX will launch a flotilla of approximately 5 uncrewed Starships to the Martian surface — success relies entirely on autonomous orbital refilling + AI-driven landing telemetry, proving precursor infrastructure for human colonization ca...
Gwynne Shotwell
Space27%
0.68manifold
2026-04-28
SPC_013
As 15th NASA Administrator (confirmed December 2025), Isaacman predicts NASA will launch astronauts into space every 6-9 months via commercial partnerships — plus aggressive reinforcement of lunar-lander programs to establish a permanent surface presen...
Jared Isaacman
Space46%
0.68manifold
2026-05-01
240_001
NVIDIA to reach at least $1 trillion in bookings/revenue through 2027
Jensen Huang
Markets/Stocks78%
0.68manifold
2026-05-17
SEM_027
Nvidia Data Center revenue +66% YoY, contributing ~90% of $57B fiscal Q3 revenue; >$4.5T market cap entirely underpinned by AI silicon.
Joseph Moore
Capital Markets68%
0.68manifold
2026-05-19
248_042
A sewing robot already exists; logistics robots will automate trillion-dollar stitching industry.
Salim Ismail
Robotics39%
0.68manifold
2026-05-30
247_038
Bitcoin upgrade will come before quantum threat does (Saylor)
Michael Saylor
Crypto48%
0.68manifold
2026-05-26
CYB_005
'Memory becomes the moat' — by 2026, the global discourse around 'AI safety' will effectively transition into highly politicized debates over 'memory policy'. Whichever entity controls the contextual history and relational memory of human-AI interactio...
Ray Kurzweil
AI30%
0.68manifold
2026-05-26
S_NO_AI_PAUSE_5Y
No major AI pause through 2031
ai_regulatory_pause75%
0.68manifold
2026-06-08
240_050
US will pass law like China requiring retraining when AI automates a job
Dave Blundin
Labor/Jobs35%
0.68manifold
2026-06-08
SEM_023
No AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 with 'crystal clear' growth visibility into 2027.
Joseph Moore
Semis/Markets53%
0.68manifold
2026-06-10
ROB_002
99% of code generation will be entirely automated by the end of 2025 — the elimination of the primary human bottleneck in digital creation, making the automation of the AI researcher by 2027 a mechanical certainty.
Kevin Weil
Labor/Jobs40%
0.68manifold
2026-06-14
COD_SPC_002
The next US crewed lunar surface landing occurs on Artemis IV in 2028
Codex Research Pack
Space22%
0.68manifold
2026-06-16
SPC_013
As 15th NASA Administrator (confirmed December 2025), Isaacman predicts NASA will launch astronauts into space every 6-9 months via commercial partnerships — plus aggressive reinforcement of lunar-lander programs to establish a permanent surface presen...
Jared Isaacman
Space46%
0.68manifold
2026-06-15
INF_047
2026 US GDP growth will land in a robust 4.6%–6.2% range — driven primarily by AI-driven productivity gains and massive physical-infrastructure capex.
Chamath Palihapitiya
Macro/Economy31%
0.68manifold
2026-06-17
235_024
In 2-3 years, AI will drive energy overabundance enabling free electricity to nearby communities.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Energy7%
0.68manifold
2026-06-19
247_010
Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory
Dave Blundin
AI40%
0.68manifold
2026-06-21
246_022
Claude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%).
PolyMarket
AI37%
0.68manifold
2026-06-26
248_004
Launching 40,000 V3 Starlinks requires only 3 Starship launches per week over 3 years.
Peter Diamandis
Space58%
0.68manifold
2026-07-06
248_010
AI capabilities will advance 100x in 2026 (by summer, potentially more).
Dave Blundin
AI20%
0.68manifold
2026-07-06
231_035
SpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving other providers constrained.
Peter Diamandis
Space33%
0.68manifold
2026-04-29
236_011
Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election
Andrew Yang
Geopolitics46%
0.68manifold
2026-04-26
231_010
China has peaked and is going to be on descent.
Salim Ismail
Geopolitics44%
0.68manifold
2026-04-23
247_027
Frontier AI spend will reach order of $1 trillion per year on a single vendor
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI39%
0.68manifold
2026-05-06
248_038
We will see humanoid robot threats alongside the current Sam Altman backlash.
Salim Ismail
Robotics34%
0.68manifold
2026-05-04
230_051
Amazon/hyperscalers will continue pouring free cash flow into AI data centers, robots and LEO satellites (opex cannibalized by capex).
Alex Wissner-Gross
Markets/Stocks38%
0.68manifold
2026-05-05
240_027
SpaceX and xAI will merge and go public in the next couple of months
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks74%
0.68manifold
2026-05-06
248_010
AI capabilities will advance 100x in 2026 (by summer, potentially more).
Dave Blundin
AI20%
0.68manifold
2026-05-18
ROB_011
An Optimus unit will be sent to Mars by 2026 — signaling the role of autonomous robotics in extraterrestrial colonization and intertwining robotic + interplanetary expansion; robotic precursors precede biological humans in planetary exploration.
Elon Musk
Space9%
0.68manifold
2026-06-01
SEM_030
S&P 500 roughly 10% upside in 2026 driven by AI productivity wave rolling through broader economy (not just megacap).
Mike Wilson
Capital Markets43%
0.68manifold
2026-06-01
S_IPO_TRILLION_2026
First $1T+ IPO in 2026
ipo_trillion_plus25%
0.68manifold
2026-06-05
236_028
AI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunately
Andrew Yang
Consumer51%
0.68manifold
2026-06-08
241_051
AI systems eventually won't have the ability to do completely new things
Eric Schmidt
AI38%
0.68manifold
2026-06-05
INF_012
AI data-center power consumption will grow by approximately 126 GW annually through 2028 — comparable to Canada's total annual power demand, and representing nearly 20% of projected global power growth through 2030.
Morgan Stanley
Energy46%
0.68manifold
2026-06-10
242_003
Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks40%
0.68manifold
2026-06-10
234_021
OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027
Peter Diamandis
AI50%
0.68
Glosso IPO By 2027?(market prob: 8%)
manifold
2026-06-14
235_016
SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026).
Peter Diamandis
Space31%
0.68manifold
2026-06-19
246_015
Elon will launch Starship toward Mars this year (2026, cited from Elon).
Elon Musk
Space36%
0.68manifold
2026-06-18
246_015
Elon will launch Starship toward Mars this year (2026, cited from Elon).
Elon Musk
Space36%
0.68manifold
2026-04-28
232_054
SSI (Ilya Sutskever's company), if successful, will change a lot of things.
Ben Horowitz
AI42%
0.68manifold
2026-04-23
232_013
Recursive self-improvement loops likely to go live in the next 12 months; 2026 will be the most consequential year for humanity.
Jimmy Ba
AI47%
0.68manifold
2026-05-01
AI_021
The 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment — millions of mid-career professionals (junior software developers, legal analysts, corporate marketers) lose jobs within a 12-18 month timeframe; resulting unemployment casca...
Andrew Yang
Labor/Jobs46%
0.68manifold
2026-05-01
S_IPO_TRILLION_2027
First $1T+ IPO in 2027
ipo_trillion_plus40%
0.68manifold
2026-05-08
CMQ_060
Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin by 2046 — driven by unprecedented political, regulatory, and policy shifts in the US.
Michael Saylor
Crypto20%
0.68manifold
2026-05-30
INF_068
2026 will be a watershed year for state and institutional Bitcoin accumulation — nations will drive a sustained Bitcoin shopping spree, formalizing digital assets as reserve infrastructure.
Michael Saylor
Crypto29%
0.68manifold
2026-05-26
234_014
We will see $100 trillion companies in the next 5-year period
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks59%
0.68manifold
2026-05-26
S_IPO_TRILLION_2026
First $1T+ IPO in 2026
ipo_trillion_plus25%
0.68manifold
2026-05-25
247_027
Frontier AI spend will reach order of $1 trillion per year on a single vendor
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI39%
0.68manifold
2026-06-01
S_IPO_TRILLION_2026
First $1T+ IPO in 2026
ipo_trillion_plus25%
0.68manifold
2026-05-31
233_005
Interactive AI tutors with engaging personalities/avatars will arrive within about a year.
Dave Blundin
AI37%
0.68manifold
2026-05-31
INF_073
AI will become smarter than any single human by end of 2025 or 2026, and smarter than all of humanity combined by 2030 or 2031.
Elon Musk
AI48%
0.68manifold
2026-06-05
235_016
SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026).
Peter Diamandis
Space31%
0.68manifold
2026-06-12
S_MARS_2031PLUS
Mars uncrewed: 2031+ transfer window or further delay
mars_uncrewed_landing25%
0.68manifold
2026-06-12
246_002
SpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025).
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks38%
0.68manifold
2026-06-13
234_021
OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027
Peter Diamandis
AI50%
0.68manifold
2026-06-16
246_002
SpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025).
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks38%
0.68manifold
2026-06-17
248_004
Launching 40,000 V3 Starlinks requires only 3 Starship launches per week over 3 years.
Peter Diamandis
Space58%
0.68manifold
2026-06-19
SPC_002
A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion valuation target — with roughly one-third defensible solely on proven Starlink + launch cash flow, and remaining two-thirds resting on speculative programs (Starship V3, o...
Morgan Stanley
Markets/Stocks45%
0.68manifold
2026-06-28
238_027
OpenAI, xAI, Google Gemini capabilities will skyrocket, achieving parity with Anthropic after DoW friction
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.68manifold
2026-06-28
238_061
Massive social unrest / trough in 2026-2027, rebound in 2028
Dave Blundin
Macro/Economy36%
0.68manifold
2026-04-27
246_025
Sam Altman predicts world-shaking cyber attack this year (2026).
Sam Altman
AI47%
0.68manifold
2026-05-01
SEM_027
Nvidia Data Center revenue +66% YoY, contributing ~90% of $57B fiscal Q3 revenue; >$4.5T market cap entirely underpinned by AI silicon.
Joseph Moore
Capital Markets68%
0.68manifold
2026-05-04
INF_032
Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price...
Seattle Met / Washington State regulators
Macro/Economy54%
0.68manifold
2026-05-08
S_ROBOTAXI_NATIONWIDE_2028
Robotaxi nationwide expansion by Nov 2028
robotaxi_deployment45%
0.68manifold
2026-05-16
ROB_001
If hundreds of millions of AGI instances are deployed simultaneously by 2027 to automate the algorithms governing their own architectures, the industry will compress a decade of human-led algorithmic progress into less than a year — culminating in 'run...
Leopold Aschenbrenner
AI29%
0.68manifold
2026-05-16
IND_016
By late 2026, SpaceX will launch a flotilla of approximately 5 uncrewed Starships to the Martian surface — success relies entirely on autonomous orbital refilling + AI-driven landing telemetry, proving precursor infrastructure for human colonization ca...
Gwynne Shotwell
Space27%
0.68manifold
2026-05-18
232_012
US-China AI situation about to get more complicated regarding open source models and secrets.
Ben Horowitz
Geopolitics44%
0.68manifold
2026-05-29
246_006
OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026).
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks37%
0.68manifold
2026-05-27
248_010
AI capabilities will advance 100x in 2026 (by summer, potentially more).
Dave Blundin
AI20%
0.68manifold
2026-06-03
AI_021
The 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment — millions of mid-career professionals (junior software developers, legal analysts, corporate marketers) lose jobs within a 12-18 month timeframe; resulting unemployment casca...
Andrew Yang
Labor/Jobs46%
0.68manifold
2026-06-05
246_004
SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks50%
0.68manifold
2026-06-13
229_020
By end of 2026, Figure will be able to drop a robot into an unseen home and do fairly long-horizon work.
Brett Adcock
Robotics20%
0.68manifold
2026-06-13
229_029
Humanoid robots could become safer than humans by a large margin, similar to autonomous cars.
Brett Adcock
Robotics33%
0.68manifold
2026-06-13
234_012
Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks67%
0.68manifold
2026-06-16
S_NO_AI_PAUSE_5Y
No major AI pause through 2031
ai_regulatory_pause75%
0.68manifold
2026-06-17
S_IPO_TRILLION_2026
First $1T+ IPO in 2026
ipo_trillion_plus25%
0.68manifold
2026-06-19
242_007
Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value
Prediction markets
Markets/Stocks45%
0.68manifold
2026-07-06
FUT_024
XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr...
Superforecaster Community
AI100%
0.68manifold
2026-05-04
236_047
New emotional pandemic of fear and anger coming
Peter Diamandis
Macro/Economy55%
0.68manifold
2026-05-09
SEM_035
World-class, AI-based mathematicians will emerge within a single year (by ~early 2027).
Eric Schmidt
AI/Cognition34%
0.68manifold
2026-05-16
234_021
OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027
Peter Diamandis
AI50%
0.68manifold
2026-05-28
COD_SPC_002
The next US crewed lunar surface landing occurs on Artemis IV in 2028
Codex Research Pack
Space22%
0.68manifold
2026-05-25
246_005
OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations.
Peter Diamandis
Markets/Stocks55%
0.68manifold
2026-05-25
S_IPO_TRILLION_2026
First $1T+ IPO in 2026
ipo_trillion_plus25%
0.68manifold
2026-05-31
INF_069
Bitcoin's total addressable market will ultimately reach approximately $270 trillion — positioning it as "digital capital" and apex reserve asset, capturing global store-of-value demand currently distributed across real estate, gold, sovereign debt, an...
Michael Saylor
Crypto15%
0.68manifold
2026-06-04
FUT_016
Next 5 years (2026-2030) require individuals + organizations to adopt 'FLUX' superpowers — ability to transform constant uncertainty into strategic advantage. Traditional linear career paths dissolve entirely by 2030, replaced by fluid portfolio-based ...
April Rinne
Labor/Jobs39%
0.68manifold
2026-06-09
SEM_021
Largest AI models will see a 100x leap in size by 2026, driven largely by Chinese research efforts using quantization breakthroughs.
Dave Blundin
AI/China45%
0.68manifold
2026-06-10
ROB_001
If hundreds of millions of AGI instances are deployed simultaneously by 2027 to automate the algorithms governing their own architectures, the industry will compress a decade of human-led algorithmic progress into less than a year — culminating in 'run...
Leopold Aschenbrenner
AI29%
0.68manifold
2026-06-10
231_035
SpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving other providers constrained.
Peter Diamandis
Space33%
0.68manifold
2026-06-11
ROB_003
AI will allow humanity to complete the next 25 years of scientific discovery in just 5 years — effectively bringing 2050-era science to 2030. Already manifesting in resolution of long-standing mathematical proofs (e.g. Erdős problems) via advanced reas...
Kevin Weil
AI45%
0.68manifold
2026-06-13
235_002
Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026).
Dave Blundin
AI75%
0.68manifold
2026-06-13
235_008
Anthropic/OpenAI will be forced to release first-party OpenClaw competitor in next couple months.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI42%