Validations Queue

111,300 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 31 of 62, 50 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.

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Bulk auto-confirm by similarity threshold

Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.

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SimDocSourcePredDomainPrior
0.61github_release
2025-08-06
SEM_047
At 200,000-GPU scale, orchestration becomes a literal 'battle against entropy' — single cosmic-ray-flipped transistor can derail 100k-GPU training run.
Jimmy Ba
AI/Hardware71%
0.61github_release
2024-03-27
229_028
Figure will NOT license out its neural net or hardware IP to third-party form-factor builders.
Brett Adcock
Robotics69%
0.61github_release
2023-11-15
SEM_047
At 200,000-GPU scale, orchestration becomes a literal 'battle against entropy' — single cosmic-ray-flipped transistor can derail 100k-GPU training run.
Jimmy Ba
AI/Hardware71%
0.61github_release
2026-01-18
S_ROBOTAXI_TESLA_2026
Tesla FSD unsupervised wide deployment by Nov 2026
robotaxi_deployment40%
0.61github_release
2021-02-17
CMQ_056
Small Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques will enable localized humanoid reasoning with extreme power efficiency — embedded AI without cloud dependency.
Dario Amodei
AI/Compute19%
0.61github_release
2018-07-12
CMQ_044
Future data-center architectures optimized for agentic workflows may require 1:2 or even 2:1 CPU-to-GPU ratio (vs historical 1:12) to prevent GPU idle-waiting.
Morgan Stanley
AI/Compute65%
0.61github_release
2026-05-07
242_055
Activist investing will be disrupted by AI writing open letters to public firms
Alex Wissner-Gross
Markets/Stocks34%
0.61github_release
2023-12-15
229_028
Figure will NOT license out its neural net or hardware IP to third-party form-factor builders.
Brett Adcock
Robotics69%
0.61github_release
2026-05-13
SEM_012
Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) across engineering.
Jensen Huang
AI/Manufacturing75%
0.61github_release
2026-05-15
241_037
Chinese AI strategy will stay open source / open weights
Eric Schmidt
AI49%
0.61github_release
2021-05-13
CYB_014
The Exponential Organization (ExO) framework becomes mandatory corporate structure — ExOs leverage AI agents to scale operations non-linearly without corresponding headcount increases. High-friction services historically reserved for high-net-worth cli...
Salim Ismail
Macro/Economy58%
0.61github_release
2024-01-03
235_037
Auto-regressive transformers and diffusion models will consolidate into one unified architecture.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.61github_release
2026-05-11
241_031
Scientists don't agree yet on approach for recursive self-improvement
Eric Schmidt
AI48%
0.61github_release
2026-04-21
242_048
FDA will move to zero clinical trial model given enough Bayesian/computational evidence
Alex Wissner-Gross
Biotech/Longevity31%
0.61github_release
2025-10-09
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.61github_release
2025-09-23
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI28%
0.61github_release
2026-06-12
AI_025
Most current generative AI wrappers are transient — they will fade into the background as infrastructure layers, analogous to Radio Shack fading in the Windows/PC era; winners will be infrastructure and verticalized depth plays, not thin API-wrapper apps.
Mark Cuban
AI60%
0.61github_release
2019-03-15
229_042
Figure believes there will be a single omni-model fusing language, vision, action, memory — not multiple specialized neural nets per task.
Brett Adcock
AI40%
0.61github_release
2019-03-15
CMQ_056
Small Language Model (SLM) optimizations and model-distillation techniques will enable localized humanoid reasoning with extreme power efficiency — embedded AI without cloud dependency.
Dario Amodei
AI/Compute19%
0.61github_release
2022-10-23
CMQ_030
In the modern AI pipeline, the CPU no longer merely supports the model — it drives the model (agentic workloads invert historical CPU:GPU ratio).
Jensen Huang
AI/Compute34%
0.61github_release
2026-06-18
240_003
NVIDIA will lock up 70%+ of TSMC's 3nm node volume
Dave Blundin
AI50%
0.61github_release
2026-06-23
238_025
AI computer-use benchmarks (OSWorld, Tbench) have broken through human level
Emad Mostaque
AI45%
0.61github_release
2025-03-24
232_014
Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI70%
0.60github_release
2025-11-04
230_046
OpenAI's Noam Brown has only ~3 months of future model access internally — dramatic capability gap with public.
Dave Blundin
AI43%
0.60github_release
2022-06-13
232_012
US-China AI situation about to get more complicated regarding open source models and secrets.
Ben Horowitz
Geopolitics44%
0.60github_release
2026-04-09
248_038
We will see humanoid robot threats alongside the current Sam Altman backlash.
Salim Ismail
Robotics34%
0.60github_release
2025-09-17
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.60github_release
2025-09-04
229_042
Figure believes there will be a single omni-model fusing language, vision, action, memory — not multiple specialized neural nets per task.
Brett Adcock
AI40%
0.60github_release
2025-08-27
237_019
Code generation models are pushing development in the direction of TypeScript instead of Rust for memory safety.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.60github_release
2026-03-02
CYB_009
Hardware-software alignment will force widespread foundational-codebase rewrites — exemplified by Midjourney's strategic migration from Google TPU architecture to native GPU framework, enabling hyper-fast personalization, HD generation, and massive par...
David Holz
AI77%
0.60github_release
2025-08-13
CMQ_030
In the modern AI pipeline, the CPU no longer merely supports the model — it drives the model (agentic workloads invert historical CPU:GPU ratio).
Jensen Huang
AI/Compute34%
0.60github_release
2025-08-13
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.60github_release
2025-03-12
SEM_022
FP4 / ternary-weight architectures decouple AI capability from raw transistor density — embargoed nations maintain competitive development.
Dave Blundin
AI/Architecture65%
0.60github_release
2023-11-14
INF_009
The first multi-behavior brain-organoid upload is imminent — wetware ('brain organoid') computing has progressed from Pong (2021) to Doom-class simulators (2025), and offers a pathway out of silicon thermal limits at ~20W per brain-equivalent compute.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI17%
0.60github_release
2024-01-30
240_016
Everyone is underestimating the next year of AI improvements (more than 2x gain)
Dave Blundin
AI36%
0.60github_release
2022-12-08
CYB_003
Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...
Alex Finn
AI55%
0.60github_release
2019-04-05
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI28%
0.60github_release
2025-12-03
FUT_024
XPT 2022 tournament assigned mere 2.3% probability to AI achieving gold-medal performance in International Mathematical Olympiad by 2025 — actual achievement empirically reached forcing systemic re-evaluation within forecasting community. Historical tr...
Superforecaster Community
AI100%
0.60github_release
2025-12-03
SEM_022
FP4 / ternary-weight architectures decouple AI capability from raw transistor density — embargoed nations maintain competitive development.
Dave Blundin
AI/Architecture65%
0.60github_release
2026-01-20
248_022
Deepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become more frequent but less effective at causing price swings.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Markets/Stocks42%
0.60github_release
2025-05-02
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI28%
0.60github_release
2020-07-08
229_028
Figure will NOT license out its neural net or hardware IP to third-party form-factor builders.
Brett Adcock
Robotics69%
0.60github_release
2020-05-17
238_025
AI computer-use benchmarks (OSWorld, Tbench) have broken through human level
Emad Mostaque
AI45%
0.60github_release
2026-06-08
CMQ_026
NVIDIA silicon roadmap: Blackwell (2025) → Vera Rubin (2026) → Vera Rubin Ultra (2027) → Feynman (2028) — annual architectural cadence.
Jensen Huang
Semis83%
0.60github_release
2026-03-26
CMQ_026
NVIDIA silicon roadmap: Blackwell (2025) → Vera Rubin (2026) → Vera Rubin Ultra (2027) → Feynman (2028) — annual architectural cadence.
Jensen Huang
Semis83%
0.60github_release
2026-03-09
241_031
Scientists don't agree yet on approach for recursive self-improvement
Eric Schmidt
AI48%
0.60github_release
2025-09-17
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.60github_release
2025-09-16
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI28%
0.60github_release
2019-07-19
246_030
DeepSeek V4 will NOT shock markets like prior DeepSeek releases.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Markets/Stocks34%
0.60github_release
2024-06-27
COD_TECH_001
A16/N2-class TSMC process availability materially supports 2027 AI accelerator ramps
Codex Research Pack
Semis50%