Predictions
148 of 1,778 predictions match — page 2 of 3. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMQ_043 | AI/Compute | CPU-latency | In complex Agentic AI workloads, CPU-side processing accounts for 50-90% of e… | Morgan Stanley / Georgia Tech / Intel | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| CYB_009 | AI | TPU-to-GPU-architectural-rewrite | Hardware-software alignment will force widespread foundational-codebase rewri… | David Holz | 4/5 | C | 90.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| CYB_018 | Robotics | Figure-39B-valuation | Figure AI valuation has eclipsed $39 billion by early 2026 — surpassing Space… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | B | 95.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| CYB_026 | Geopolitics | US-moat-open-source-diffusion | The initial assumption that the United States can maintain a durable long-ter… | Leopold Aschenbrenner | 4/5 | A | 85.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| CYB_029 | AI | centralized-decentralized-schism | Corporate API providers will increasingly restrict third-party agent harnesse… | Anthropic | 4/5 | B | 88.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| FUT_003 | AI | extinction-risk-0.38-vs-3-percent | Superforecaster consensus assigns 0.38% probability to AI-driven human extinc… | Superforecaster Community | 4/5 | B | 100.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| INF_019 | Energy | DC-water-consumption | A modern hyperscale AI data center can consume up to 5 million gallons of fre… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 90.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| INF_033 | Geopolitics | AI-super-PAC-mobilization | Technology conglomerates have mobilized unprecedented political capital to en… | Meta / a16z (Andreessen, Horowitz) | 5/5 | B | 95.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| INF_039 | Consumer | Mac-supply-crunch | Consumer-facing AI hardware shortages will worsen: high-Unified-Memory Apple … | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 90.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| INF_049 | Energy | gigawatt-factory-bottleneck | Modern AI data centers are no longer server farms but "gigawatt factories"; e… | Jensen Huang | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| INF_065 | Auto/Transport | uber-robotaxi-charging-$100M | Uber has committed an initial $100 million specifically to develop EV chargin… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| ROB_012 | Semis | Taiwan-GPU-singularity-bottleneck | The ultimate bottleneck for global robotics deployment is NOT software archit… | David Holz | 5/5 | B | 85.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| SEM_029 | Semis/Products | hardware | Blackwell RTX PRO 5000 (72GB) engineered with 50% memory boost over previous … | Nvidia | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| SPC_006 | Space | Starlink-10M-subscribers | Starlink exceeded 10 million active global subscribers by February 2026, gene… | SpaceX | 5/5 | B | 98.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| SPC_014 | Space | Starlink-65-percent-active-sats | Starlink constitutes 65% of all active satellites globally by 2026 — making L… | SpaceX | 5/5 | B | 98.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 229_033 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will deploy robots into its new 'Grid' facility to run 24/7 starting t… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | hit | 2026-02-01 – 2026-02-28 |
| IND_021 | Labor/Jobs | Block-4000-layoffs-realized | February 2026 realized forecast: AI automation capabilities necessitated seve… | Jack Dorsey | 5/5 | B | 95.0% | hit | 2026-02-01 – 2026-02-28 |
| 235_038 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosc… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-03-01 – 2026-03-31 |
| 235_016 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). | Peter Diamandis | 2/5 | C | 55.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 242_057 | Space | AI-timing | Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 247_042 | Robotics | humanoids | Professional Robotics League first US match on April 19, 2026 in Boston | Alex Wissner-Gross | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 247_058 | AI | AI-scaling | Jury selection begins April 27, 2026 for Musk v OpenAI trial | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 229_028 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure will NOT license out its neural net or hardware IP to third-party form… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 238_041 | AI | AI-scaling | Apple will eventually integrate highly competent private frontier models into… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 245_012 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | UAE's Biovault is a nine-figure initiative for both Colossal and the UAE | Ben Lamm | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_038 | Space | orbital-AI | Data centers are driving frontier labs into space (orbital data centers). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| PMCI_ACLS_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ACLS >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_AEHR_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AEHR >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_AMD_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AMD >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_APLD_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | APLD >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_ARM_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ARM >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_ASML_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ASML >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_ASTS_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ASTS >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_BTDR_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | BTDR >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_COHR_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | COHR >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_CORZ_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | CORZ >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_CRWD_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | CRWD >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_GLW_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | GLW >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_HUT_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | HUT >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_INTC_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | INTC >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_IREN_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | IREN >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_LEU_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | LEU >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_LUNR_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | LUNR >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_MRNA_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | MRNA >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_MTSI_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | MTSI >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_MU_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | MU >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_NVDA_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | NVDA >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_OKLO_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | OKLO >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_QCOM_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | QCOM >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |
| PMCI_RIOT_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | RIOT >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | hit | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |