SPY
Apendinghedgerecommended 2026-06-17 · source intel_mirror_v0/hedge_bucket batch=hedge-bucket-2026-06-17Research-mode rules
| Research status | queued |
|---|---|
| Analysis batch | hedge-bucket-2026-06-17 |
| Analysis file | codex/risk_analysis_2026_05_05.md |
| Stop-loss | -50% premium → exit fully |
| Time stop | 2026-09-01 → exit if <100% gain |
Instrument & sizing
| Instrument type | leaps_put |
|---|---|
| Strike | $600 |
| Expiration | 2027-01-15 |
| Polygon symbol | O:SPY270115P00600000 |
| Recommended quantity | 1 |
| Recommended dollar amount | $10,011.841 |
| Recommended entry price | $100.12 |
| Spot at recommendation | $740.96 |
| OTM% | — |
| IV at recommendation | — |
| Delta at recommendation | — |
Thesis summary
Deep tail. SPY 600P pays off if drawdown exceeds 17%.
Linked predictions (0)
No predictions linked.
Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)
| Date | Type | Description | Expected impact | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-15 | expiration | SPY option expiration | volatility_only | upcoming |
Update history (17)
Most recent first.
| Updated at | Type | Source | Drift / shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 22:13Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.5% |
| 2026-07-03 22:12Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.5% |
| 2026-07-02 22:14Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.5% |
| 2026-07-01 22:13Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.6% |
| 2026-06-30 22:15Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.8% |
| 2026-06-29 22:09Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.0% |
| 2026-06-28 22:09Z | auto_review | cron | spot -1.6% |
| 2026-06-27 22:10Z | auto_review | cron | spot -1.6% |
| 2026-06-26 22:13Z | auto_review | cron | spot -1.6% |
| 2026-06-25 22:13Z | auto_review | cron | spot -0.9% |
| 2026-06-24 22:13Z | auto_review | cron | spot -1.0% |
| 2026-06-23 22:14Z | auto_review | cron | spot -1.0% |
| 2026-06-22 22:10Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.5% |
| 2026-06-21 22:10Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.8% |
| 2026-06-20 22:10Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.8% |
| 2026-06-19 22:16Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.8% |
| 2026-06-18 22:14Z | auto_review | cron | spot +0.8% |
Actions
Deploy captures actual fill details. Pass requires a categorical reason.