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ASML

Apendingcore_longrecommended 2026-06-15 · source intel_mirror_v0 / batch=intel-mirror-2026-06-15

Research-mode rules

Research statusqueued
Analysis batchintel-mirror-2026-06-15
Analysis filecodex/intel_mirror_v0.md#universe-+-position-selection-rule
Kelly size %8.00% of book cap
Stop-loss-50% premium → exit fully
Time stop2026-09-01 → exit if <100% gain
Profit ladder
+75% premium → sell_third
+150% premium → sell_third

Instrument & sizing

Instrument typeleaps_call
Strike$2,375
Expiration2027-01-15
Polygon symbolO:ASML270115C02375000
Recommended quantity1
Recommended dollar amount$15,141.28
Recommended entry price$151.41
Spot at recommendation$1892.66
OTM%
IV at recommendation
Delta at recommendation

Thesis summary

Intel Mirror: PMCI+Aschenbrenner+cluster composite=0.237; auto-generated 2026-06-15.

Linked predictions (0)

No predictions linked.

Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)

DateTypeDescriptionExpected impactStatus
2027-01-15expirationASML option expirationvolatility_onlyupcoming

Update history (19)

Most recent first.
Updated atTypeSourceDrift / shift
2026-07-04 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -6.5%
2026-07-03 22:12Zauto_reviewcronspot -6.5%
2026-07-02 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot -6.5%
2026-07-01 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -2.6%
2026-06-30 22:15Zauto_reviewcronspot +5.1%
2026-06-29 22:09Zauto_reviewcronspot -0.5%
2026-06-28 22:09Zauto_reviewcronspot -5.2%
2026-06-27 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot -5.2%
2026-06-26 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -5.2%
2026-06-25 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -2.7%
2026-06-24 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -6.9%
2026-06-23 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot -6.0%
2026-06-22 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.9%
2026-06-21 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +2.0%
2026-06-20 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +2.0%
2026-06-19 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot +2.0%
2026-06-18 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +2.0%
2026-06-17 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -1.3%
2026-06-16 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot -4.7%

Actions

Deploy captures actual fill details. Pass requires a categorical reason.