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ASML

Apendingcore_longrecommended 2026-06-13 · source intel_mirror_v0 / batch=intel-mirror-2026-06-13

Research-mode rules

Research statusqueued
Analysis batchintel-mirror-2026-06-13
Analysis filecodex/intel_mirror_v0.md#universe-+-position-selection-rule
Kelly size %8.00% of book cap
Stop-loss-50% premium → exit fully
Time stop2026-09-01 → exit if <100% gain
Profit ladder
+75% premium → sell_third
+150% premium → sell_third

Instrument & sizing

Instrument typeleaps_call
Strike$2,325
Expiration2027-01-15
Polygon symbolO:ASML270115C02325000
Recommended quantity1
Recommended dollar amount$14,908.4
Recommended entry price$149.08
Spot at recommendation$1863.55
OTM%
IV at recommendation
Delta at recommendation

Thesis summary

Intel Mirror: PMCI+Aschenbrenner+cluster composite=0.365; auto-generated 2026-06-13.

Linked predictions (0)

No predictions linked.

Upcoming catalysts (1 of 1)

DateTypeDescriptionExpected impactStatus
2027-01-15expirationASML option expirationvolatility_onlyupcoming

Update history (21)

Most recent first.
Updated atTypeSourceDrift / shift
2026-07-04 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -5.1%
2026-07-03 22:12Zauto_reviewcronspot -5.1%
2026-07-02 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot -5.1%
2026-07-01 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -1.1%
2026-06-30 22:15Zauto_reviewcronspot +6.8%
2026-06-29 22:09Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.0%
2026-06-28 22:09Zauto_reviewcronspot -3.7%
2026-06-27 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot -3.7%
2026-06-26 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -3.7%
2026-06-25 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -1.2%
2026-06-24 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot -5.4%
2026-06-23 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot -4.6%
2026-06-22 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +3.5%
2026-06-21 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +3.5%
2026-06-20 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot +3.5%
2026-06-19 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot +3.5%
2026-06-18 22:14Zauto_reviewcronspot +3.5%
2026-06-17 22:13Zauto_reviewcronspot +0.2%
2026-06-16 22:16Zauto_reviewcronspot -3.2%
2026-06-15 22:11Zauto_reviewcronspot +1.6%
2026-06-14 22:10Zauto_reviewcronspot -0.0%

Actions

Deploy captures actual fill details. Pass requires a categorical reason.