Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
1,095
Filtered
590
page 4 / 6
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:18dd8b52f967lbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:505c3f8c6962lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ab7ecb4c0fd0lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cb236f3f5ed6lbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36062
}{
"delta": -0.1254199528283777,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.235 blend=0.235 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2352000471716223,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46107
}{
"delta": -0.14297546985357634,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.318 blend=0.318 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31809453014642364,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53869
}{
"delta": -0.07524615205748414,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.463 blend=0.463 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46344384794251586,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50927
}{
"delta": 0.03128147577984264,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.447 blend=0.541 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 w_in=0.30 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5405514757798426,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.80501
}{
"delta": -0.05655430156348118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.748 blend=0.748 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7484556984365188,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35731
}{
"delta": -0.061182658796061495,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.296 blend=0.296 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2961273412039385,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.15199
}{
"delta": -0.024330425531914862,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.128 blend=0.128 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.12765957446808512,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.30964
}{
"delta": -0.08669671566814466,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.253 blend=0.223 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.22294328433185537,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.23039
}{
"delta": -0.08066564409739196,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.185 blend=0.150 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.65 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.14972435590260805,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.63768
}{
"delta": -0.18999044806132714,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.581 blend=0.448 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.69 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.4476895519386729,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.4587
}{
"delta": -0.18223910102117857,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.391 blend=0.276 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.2764608989788214,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45732
}{
"delta": -0.04450237667532758,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.413 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.181 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4128176233246724,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59885
}{
"delta": -0.08010854642216314,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.530 blend=0.519 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.62 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5187414535778369,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.71967
}{
"delta": -0.07051178852751239,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.649 blend=0.649 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6491582114724876,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.61674
}{
"delta": -0.0797520811498812,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.537 blend=0.537 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5369879188501188,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78837
}{
"delta": -0.047356197040561265,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.877 blend=0.741 LLR=-0.639 κ=0.81 w_in=0.44 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.7410138029594387,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41352
}{
"delta": -0.07657225508386051,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.337 blend=0.337 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3369477449161395,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69241
}{
"delta": -0.01736839323677375,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.776 blend=0.675 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.44 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6750416067632262,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40958
}{
"delta": -0.06036307170066252,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.349 blend=0.349 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.63 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3492169282993375,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58003
}{
"delta": -0.06899657256347791,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.511 blend=0.511 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5110334274365221,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41184
}{
"delta": -0.19043960591073533,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.221 LLR=-0.313 κ=0.77 w_in=0.62 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.22140039408926465,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34056
}{
"delta": -0.15168049158132269,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.281 blend=0.189 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.59 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.1888795084186773,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_058 | view{
"current_prob": 0.65016
}{
"delta": -0.061343633502711103,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.589 blend=0.589 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5888163664972889,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_059 | view{
"current_prob": 0.70778
}{
"delta": -0.08375639299458659,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.624 blend=0.624 LLR=-0.378 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6240236070054134,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_BIO_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50481
}{
"delta": -0.03871135755254196,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.466 blend=0.466 LLR=-0.155 κ=0.85 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.466098642447458,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.18082
}{
"delta": -0.06676572789300368,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.134 blend=0.114 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 w_in=0.44 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.11405427210699633,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39825
}{
"delta": -0.17812742468738718,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.220 LLR=-0.342 κ=0.84 w_in=0.65 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.2201225753126128,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.32007
}{
"delta": -0.09232132076862576,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.266 blend=0.228 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 w_in=0.44 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.22774867923137426,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.27981
}{
"delta": -0.09488363786096118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.227 blend=0.185 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.73 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.18492636213903882,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62549
}{
"delta": -0.04855974748415115,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.577 blend=0.577 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5769302525158488,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_018 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52026
}{
"delta": -0.05063788896905952,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.470 blend=0.470 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4696221110309404,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.583
}{
"delta": -0.037360943740724406,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.546 blend=0.546 LLR=-0.152 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5456390562592756,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.66946
}{
"delta": -0.04311780322539871,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.626 blend=0.626 LLR=-0.189 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6263421967746013,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58445
}{
"delta": -0.04949484106747115,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.535 blend=0.535 LLR=-0.201 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5349551589325289,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.32452
}{
"delta": -0.0645946705124344,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.260 blend=0.260 LLR=-0.313 κ=0.77 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2599253294875656,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50227
}{
"delta": -0.04864525205336495,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.454 blend=0.454 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.45362474794663504,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SPC_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48301
}{
"delta": -0.06883282595206125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.414 blend=0.414 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41417717404793875,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-19 22:16:06 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78644
}{
"delta": -0.011045029643714233,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.920 blend=0.775 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.43 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.7753949703562858,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-19 22:16:06 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_039 | view{
"current_prob": 0.68239
}{
"delta": -0.023648778048576125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.714 blend=0.659 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.57 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6587412219514239,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-19 22:16:06 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_041 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69381
}{
"delta": -0.017346379800103895,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.782 blend=0.676 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 w_in=0.43 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.6764636201998961,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-17 22:12:26 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33896
}{
"delta": -0.1566793610845642,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.295 blend=0.182 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.70 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.18228063891543578,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-16 22:11:16 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53009
}{
"delta": -0.0752299723608098,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.455 blend=0.455 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.45486002763919015,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-16 22:11:16 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39951
}{
"delta": -0.026430889839689387,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.373 blend=0.373 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3730791101603106,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-16 22:11:16 | milestone_miss_sweep | node.milestone_miss | node:229_045 | view{
"current_prob": 0.27035
}{
"delta": -0.1499035278077958,
"reason": "milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.178 blend=0.120 LLR=-0.536 κ=0.77 w_in=0.31 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.12044647219220415,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:243_032 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50992
}{
"delta": -0.05907450754936677,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.451 blend=0.451 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.45084549245063327,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.73675
}{
"delta": -0.04834977951601427,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.688 blend=0.688 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6884002204839857,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44115
}{
"delta": -0.057247258508718535,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.384 blend=0.384 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38390274149128145,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-15 22:14:51 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59022
}{
"delta": -0.05816878823536298,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.532 blend=0.532 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.532051211764637,
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} |
| 2026-05-14 22:14:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:245_027 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41948
}{
"delta": -0.0659776407952708,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.354 blend=0.354 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3535023592047292,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-14 22:14:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_033 | view{
"current_prob": 0.70846
}{
"delta": -0.05113303747652986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.657 blend=0.657 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.6573269625234701,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-14 22:14:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_ROB_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40304
}{
"delta": -0.08390248470854239,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.319 blend=0.319 LLR=-0.365 κ=0.90 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3191375152914576,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-13 22:12:36 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51671
}{
"delta": -0.037694273765743413,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.452 blend=0.479 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 w_in=0.43 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.4790157262342566,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-12 22:09:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.31889
}{
"delta": -0.05960716670922844,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.259 blend=0.259 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.25928283329077156,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-12 22:09:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.56732
}{
"delta": -0.06475903325558618,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.503 blend=0.503 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5025609667444139,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1820079978290759,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.313 blend=0.313 LLR=-0.766 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3132120021709241,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37587
}{
"delta": -0.03797083770148335,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.338 blend=0.338 LLR=-0.166 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33789916229851663,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_018 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42275
}{
"delta": -0.05711810224512681,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3656318977548732,
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} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.0702061657017315,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4250138342982685,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43967
}{
"delta": -0.20952438731496842,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.408 blend=0.230 LLR=-0.132 κ=0.50 w_in=0.68 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.2301456126850316,
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} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_066 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53619
}{
"delta": -0.017715894719911196,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.561 blend=0.518 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 w_in=0.30 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.5184741052800889,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:52 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43348
}{
"delta": -0.0489610611573999,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.385 blend=0.385 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3845189388426001,
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} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_033 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45415
}{
"delta": -0.06484314179275802,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.389 blend=0.389 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.77 w_in=1.00 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.389306858207242,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50735
}{
"delta": -0.06186710442929394,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.445 blend=0.445 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.44548289557070603,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38686
}{
"delta": -0.04741998031606903,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.339 LLR=-0.205 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33944001968393095,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38686
}{
"delta": -0.04741998031606903,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.339 blend=0.339 LLR=-0.205 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33944001968393095,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_043 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39095
}{
"delta": -0.027546666006975362,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.363 blend=0.363 LLR=-0.117 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36340333399302466,
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} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43698
}{
"delta": -0.03489505168513496,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.402 blend=0.402 LLR=-0.143 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.402084948314865,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48501
}{
"delta": -0.06448847135587837,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.421 blend=0.421 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4205215286441216,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47186
}{
"delta": -0.03797368410063212,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.434 blend=0.434 LLR=-0.153 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4338863158993679,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-09 22:14:10 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.75947
}{
"delta": -0.04579936915011895,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.714 blend=0.714 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.713670630849881,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50548
}{
"delta": -0.025058013843659577,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.435 blend=0.480 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.48042198615634046,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47663
}{
"delta": -0.107469364538815,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.369 blend=0.369 LLR=-0.442 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.369160635461185,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52069
}{
"delta": -0.0664399954901666,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.454 blend=0.454 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.77 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4542500045098334,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43168
}{
"delta": -0.05026339587547596,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.381 blend=0.381 LLR=-0.209 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38141660412452405,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:231_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55898
}{
"delta": -0.06624238841762625,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.493 blend=0.493 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4927376115823738,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42315
}{
"delta": -0.05713082467272146,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36601917532727857,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46514
}{
"delta": -0.04498396581089409,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.420 blend=0.420 LLR=-0.182 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4201560341891059,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_067 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45615
}{
"delta": -0.0569908462462545,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.399 blend=0.399 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3991591537537455,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_068 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43348
}{
"delta": -0.0489610611573999,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.385 blend=0.385 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3845189388426001,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39184
}{
"delta": -0.07419228601674899,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.318 blend=0.318 LLR=-0.325 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31764771398325103,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49048
}{
"delta": 0.038502682165947655,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.416 blend=0.529 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 w_in=0.31 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5289826821659477,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_038 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37762
}{
"delta": -0.05443104389138209,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.323 blend=0.323 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3231889561086179,
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} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:243_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38157
}{
"delta": -0.05106777695106657,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.331 blend=0.331 LLR=-0.223 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33050222304893345,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:244_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39019
}{
"delta": -0.054704488590896605,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.335 blend=0.335 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3354855114091034,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51482
}{
"delta": -0.028239845142440545,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.459 blend=0.487 LLR=-0.222 κ=0.84 w_in=0.33 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.4865801548575595,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.60634
}{
"delta": -0.07379315577856393,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.533 blend=0.533 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.532546844221436,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42285
}{
"delta": -0.06553813679994996,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.276 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.35731186320005004,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44531
}{
"delta": -0.06216800359454505,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38314199640545493,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.303
}{
"delta": -0.061270971334363517,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.242 blend=0.242 LLR=-0.310 κ=0.90 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24172902866563648,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-08 22:15:34 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CYB_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50599
}{
"delta": -0.04300754292831571,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.463 blend=0.463 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46298245707168434,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-07 22:13:01 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43471
}{
"delta": -0.06964647731765095,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.365 blend=0.365 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36506352268234904,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-07 22:13:01 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_036 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39599
}{
"delta": -0.07456022989178457,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.321 LLR=-0.325 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32142977010821544,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-05 22:10:59 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:ROB_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.09117
}{
"delta": -0.0194189197769086,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.072 blend=0.072 LLR=-0.261 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.0717510802230914,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-04 22:07:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39184
}{
"delta": -0.12370297028181698,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.268 blend=0.268 LLR=-0.565 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.26813702971818304,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-03 22:06:47 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_068 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39241
}{
"delta": -0.0547380892798488,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.338 blend=0.338 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3376719107201512,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62806
}{
"delta": -0.2876977487558071,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.576 blend=0.340 LLR=-0.219 κ=0.77 w_in=0.61 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.34036225124419284,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62806
}{
"delta": -0.29414363350758166,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.564 blend=0.334 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.77 w_in=0.61 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.3339163664924183,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34205
}{
"delta": -0.15470317130852737,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.280 blend=0.187 LLR=-0.288 κ=0.77 w_in=0.58 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.18734682869147265,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44712
}{
"delta": -0.0500289891850943,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.397 blend=0.397 LLR=-0.205 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3970910108149057,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-02 22:07:21 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.57919
}{
"delta": -0.07009893760356956,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.509 blend=0.509 LLR=-0.283 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5090910623964304,
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} |