Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
1,095
Filtered
590
page 3 / 6
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:18dd8b52f967lbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:505c3f8c6962lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ab7ecb4c0fd0lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cb236f3f5ed6lbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 22:14:56 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.2366
}{
"delta": -0.03465046185325121,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.202 blend=0.202 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2019495381467488,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-23 22:14:56 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_028 | view{
"current_prob": 0.60541
}{
"delta": -0.05766450420221725,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.548 blend=0.548 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5477454957977828,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-22 22:10:26 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:FUT_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43714
}{
"delta": -0.049087948998007114,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.388 blend=0.388 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.38805205100199286,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-21 22:10:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.25045
}{
"delta": -0.06097516494877886,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.189 blend=0.189 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.18947483505122115,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-21 22:10:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.32672
}{
"delta": -0.16311604625510953,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.269 blend=0.164 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.47 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.16360395374489048,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-21 22:10:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36945
}{
"delta": -0.06227205832641275,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.307 blend=0.307 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.30717794167358725,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-21 22:10:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_040 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47521
}{
"delta": -0.08737986025569061,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.388 blend=0.388 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3878301397443094,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-21 22:10:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.60509
}{
"delta": -0.04932322111548415,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.556 blend=0.556 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5557667788845159,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-21 22:10:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35294
}{
"delta": -0.04462675272230893,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.308 blend=0.308 LLR=-0.202 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.30831324727769105,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-21 22:10:29 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.6479
}{
"delta": -0.055003462091127164,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.600 blend=0.593 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.63 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5928965379088729,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-20 22:10:56 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51534
}{
"delta": -0.05062113594659706,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46471886405340296,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-20 22:10:56 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.467
}{
"delta": -0.06831412830914774,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.399 blend=0.399 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3986858716908523,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-20 22:10:56 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.67074
}{
"delta": -0.08111755719500457,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.590 blend=0.590 LLR=-0.349 κ=0.86 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5896224428049954,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-19 22:16:22 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45258
}{
"delta": -0.043285159130786344,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.364 blend=0.409 LLR=-0.250 κ=0.88 w_in=0.66 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.40929484086921364,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-19 22:16:22 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.28359
}{
"delta": -0.05931650486188736,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.224 blend=0.224 LLR=-0.314 κ=0.86 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.22427349513811265,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-19 22:16:22 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45798
}{
"delta": -0.0864588604217641,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.372 blend=0.372 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3715211395782359,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-19 22:16:22 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40122
}{
"delta": 0.012229089674481608,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.349 κ=0.86 w_in=0.47 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.41344908967448163,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-19 22:16:22 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.87062
}{
"delta": -0.042348532412862516,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.828 blend=0.828 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.8282714675871374,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-19 22:16:22 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42054
}{
"delta": -0.07836486532349013,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.342 blend=0.342 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3421751346765099,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-19 22:16:22 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:INF_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53893
}{
"delta": -0.04624369405574996,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.488 blend=0.493 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.63 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.49268630594425006,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-18 22:14:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34753
}{
"delta": -0.06393578397655286,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.284 blend=0.284 LLR=-0.297 κ=0.86 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.28359421602344714,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-18 22:14:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_039 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43471
}{
"delta": -0.07102739147483922,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.364 blend=0.364 LLR=-0.297 κ=0.86 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36368260852516077,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-18 22:14:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:243_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46601
}{
"delta": -0.08690966627362284,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.379 blend=0.379 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.37910033372637714,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-17 22:13:56 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45403
}{
"delta": -0.0677944630086772,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.386 blend=0.386 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3862355369913228,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-17 22:13:56 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.62651
}{
"delta": -0.06716437319581281,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.559 blend=0.559 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5593456268041872,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-16 22:16:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53646
}{
"delta": -0.06971217587006939,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.467 blend=0.467 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.86 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46674782412993066,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-16 22:16:31 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48548
}{
"delta": -0.06890510913191666,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.417 blend=0.417 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41657489086808336,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-15 22:11:28 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:231_045 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.04490825434703,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.409 blend=0.409 LLR=-0.183 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.40930174565297,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-15 22:11:28 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41715
}{
"delta": -0.22311440941071628,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.354 blend=0.194 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.82 w_in=0.65 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.19403559058928374,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-15 22:11:28 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.16521
}{
"delta": -0.03495619959431967,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.130 blend=0.130 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.13025380040568033,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-14 22:10:53 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:230_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50237
}{
"delta": -0.08844173982162185,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.414 blend=0.414 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41392826017837814,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-14 22:10:53 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_040 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38433
}{
"delta": -0.06349924685244301,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.321 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.320830753147557,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-14 22:10:53 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48526
}{
"delta": -0.08783015875645778,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.397 blend=0.397 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.39742984124354225,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-14 22:10:53 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_ROB_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.31251
}{
"delta": -0.04182313760275985,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.271 blend=0.271 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.27068686239724016,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-14 22:10:53 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:SEM_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54564
}{
"delta": -0.050556536149982456,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.495 blend=0.495 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.49508346385001756,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-13 22:11:19 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46229
}{
"delta": -0.0867046181920153,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.376 blend=0.376 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3755853818079847,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-12 22:15:48 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34714
}{
"delta": -0.04442059419545091,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.303 blend=0.303 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3027194058045491,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-11 22:14:55 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41613
}{
"delta": -0.05451932030443102,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.292 blend=0.362 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.64 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
"current_prob": 0.361610679695569,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-11 22:14:55 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.8103
}{
"delta": -0.056507325781572915,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.754 blend=0.754 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7537926742184271,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-10 22:14:53 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:231_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35406
}{
"delta": -0.12224897409143065,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.232 blend=0.232 LLR=-0.597 κ=0.86 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.23181102590856933,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-09 22:16:28 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53597
}{
"delta": -0.026546916163372125,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.509 blend=0.509 LLR=-0.106 κ=0.58 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5094230838366278,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-09 22:16:28 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.55202
}{
"delta": -0.0846013437261347,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.467 blend=0.467 LLR=-0.339 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46741865627386525,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-09 22:16:28 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50337
}{
"delta": -0.038274271881832356,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.153 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46509572811816763,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43816
}{
"delta": -0.03056976904806341,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.408 blend=0.408 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.77 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4075902309519366,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54974
}{
"delta": -0.0752024179089677,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.475 blend=0.475 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4745375820910323,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50992
}{
"delta": -0.06189626854862412,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.448 blend=0.448 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4480237314513759,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37616
}{
"delta": 0.07045199259790869,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.343 blend=0.447 LLR=-0.142 κ=0.50 w_in=0.33 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.4466119925979087,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48144
}{
"delta": -0.0274016216568978,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.411 blend=0.454 LLR=-0.284 κ=0.88 w_in=0.51 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.4540383783431022,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:247_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46017
}{
"delta": -0.04488926694751538,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.374 blend=0.415 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 w_in=0.67 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.41528073305248464,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:247_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45202
}{
"delta": -0.056856060318512036,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.395 blend=0.395 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.39516393968148794,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.28592
}{
"delta": -0.04943829333478392,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.236 blend=0.236 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.63 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2364817066652161,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_ROB_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.30894
}{
"delta": -0.0683935505301593,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.241 blend=0.241 LLR=-0.345 κ=0.85 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2405464494698407,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-08 01:14:46 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_SPC_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41612
}{
"delta": -0.06898327994138043,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.347 blend=0.347 LLR=-0.293 κ=0.85 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.34713672005861956,
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} |
| 2026-06-07 22:10:23 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37584
}{
"delta": -0.12866798769198276,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.247 blend=0.247 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24717201230801725,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-07 22:10:23 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:245_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34218
}{
"delta": -0.09804237192471674,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.244 blend=0.244 LLR=-0.477 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24413762807528325,
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} |
| 2026-06-07 22:10:23 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:247_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38134
}{
"delta": -0.06587354519573868,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.315 blend=0.315 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31546645480426133,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-06 22:10:11 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_044 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39482
}{
"delta": -0.0781723945161476,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.317 blend=0.317 LLR=-0.342 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3166476054838524,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-06 22:10:11 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48227
}{
"delta": -0.05027030411117117,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4319996958888288,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_026 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45455
}{
"delta": -0.1421244488122259,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.312 blend=0.312 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3124255511877741,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37996
}{
"delta": -0.12950956510280348,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.250 blend=0.250 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.25045043489719654,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:243_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40611
}{
"delta": -0.06007454972169873,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.346 blend=0.346 LLR=-0.256 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3460354502783013,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49838
}{
"delta": -0.14699943734787457,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.351 blend=0.351 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3513805626521254,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44604
}{
"delta": -0.1409541555382337,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.305 blend=0.305 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3050858444617663,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47397
}{
"delta": -0.3547223840287336,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.334 blend=0.119 LLR=-0.585 κ=0.84 w_in=0.42 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.11924761597126643,
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} |
| 2026-06-05 22:16:02 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37381
}{
"delta": -0.2715207309772363,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.250 blend=0.102 LLR=-0.585 κ=0.84 w_in=0.42 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.10228926902276371,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35194
}{
"delta": -0.14805964777686834,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.269 blend=0.204 LLR=-0.392 κ=0.77 w_in=0.70 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.20388035222313164,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:229_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37679
}{
"delta": -0.20570868440856693,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.348 blend=0.171 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.77 w_in=0.39 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.17108131559143308,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.07668631865673808,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.378 blend=0.378 LLR=-0.316 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3775236813432619,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_041 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46435
}{
"delta": -0.07486817374416399,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.389 blend=0.389 LLR=-0.307 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.389481826255836,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48073
}{
"delta": -0.08105726440424843,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.400 blend=0.400 LLR=-0.330 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.39967273559575156,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:242_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.37708
}{
"delta": -0.06291254804215696,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.314 blend=0.314 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31416745195784307,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.3949
}{
"delta": -0.0707356105750343,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.324 blend=0.324 LLR=-0.308 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32416438942496567,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_020 | view{
"current_prob": 0.47407
}{
"delta": -0.07829878249176248,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.396 blend=0.396 LLR=-0.319 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3957712175082375,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-04 22:12:05 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34195
}{
"delta": 0.006994326750678348,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.290 blend=0.349 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 w_in=0.39 fda_breakthrough_label",
"current_prob": 0.3489443267506783,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:247_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39014
}{
"delta": -0.06659516934363419,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.324 blend=0.324 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3235448306563658,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:248_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42865
}{
"delta": -0.08911252089781985,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.340 blend=0.340 LLR=-0.378 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33953747910218013,
"n_milestones": 3
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.42275
}{
"delta": -0.06936784725425937,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.353 blend=0.353 LLR=-0.293 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.35338215274574064,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_051 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43332
}{
"delta": -0.05044583913720907,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.209 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3828741608627909,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-06-03 22:11:45 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54055
}{
"delta": -0.027416691368334356,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.400 blend=0.513 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.88 w_in=0.37 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5131333086316656,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-02 22:14:42 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_057 | view{
"current_prob": 0.60639
}{
"delta": -0.04928651500510772,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.557 blend=0.557 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.5571034849948923,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-06-01 22:11:01 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_045 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49282
}{
"delta": -0.06371265921497637,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.429 blend=0.429 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.63 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4291073407850236,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49391
}{
"delta": -0.0413256874576311,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.424 blend=0.453 LLR=-0.284 κ=0.88 w_in=0.62 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.4525843125423689,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_055 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45075
}{
"delta": 0.01698722114495599,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.394 blend=0.468 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.467737221144956,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_051 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46435
}{
"delta": -0.031025175120269588,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.433 blend=0.433 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4333248248797304,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33753
}{
"delta": -0.17447450491660846,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.278 blend=0.163 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.16305549508339154,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | milestone_miss_sweep | node.milestone_miss | node:235_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45463
}{
"delta": -0.14213595220759961,
"reason": "milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.312 blend=0.312 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 w_in=1.00 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.31249404779240036,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | milestone_miss_sweep | node.milestone_miss | node:INF_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50941
}{
"delta": -0.04938724342555584,
"reason": "milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.401 blend=0.460 LLR=-0.439 κ=0.63 w_in=0.40 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.4600227565744442,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43481
}{
"delta": -0.05708434221775749,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.378 blend=0.378 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3777256577822425,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52598
}{
"delta": -0.04874537088082043,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.477 blend=0.477 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4772346291191796,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36586
}{
"delta": -0.040929136652571474,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.325 blend=0.325 LLR=-0.181 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32493086334742854,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.042281408221289174,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.412 blend=0.412 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41192859177871083,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33836
}{
"delta": -0.210631052158486,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.218 blend=0.128 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 w_in=0.30 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.127728947841514,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_027 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54014
}{
"delta": -0.07524961655595047,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4648903834440495,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48875
}{
"delta": -0.06354859946807828,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.256 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.42520140053192174,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_049 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50021
}{
"delta": -0.06856035187158516,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.276 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4316496481284149,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.047885515652211386,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.406 blend=0.406 LLR=-0.196 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4063244843477886,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39244
}{
"delta": -0.02624334657411226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36619665342588775,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46632
}{
"delta": -0.08635755431577319,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.380 blend=0.380 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3799624456842268,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.31821
}{
"delta": -0.0935190485506977,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.225 blend=0.225 LLR=-0.477 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2246909514493023,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46002
}{
"delta": -0.0275428207955844,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4324771792044156,
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} |