Audit Log

Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops

Total entries
1,126
Filtered
1,126
page 22 / 23
Distinct actions
34
Distinct kinds
16

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WhenActorActionTargetBefore → After
2026-05-01 20:47:39apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_7a50afeb
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave9_lot7.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 70,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 20:47:25apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_a2a71358
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave9_lot4.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 20:46:48apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_c73fd47b
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave9_lot6.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 20:46:27apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_8cda73c8
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave9_lot8.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 9
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 45,
  "predictions_updated": 9
}
2026-05-01 18:47:56apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_b65f1fd4
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave8_lot6.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 67,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:44:55apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_1e836b1d
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave8_lot3.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 75,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:43:55apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_87220762
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave8_lot1.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 58,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:42:42apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_ca747778
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave8_lot5.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:41:23apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_59398ef1
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave8_lot2.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 55,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:41:13apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_74e04e5c
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave8_lot7.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:41:03apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_b6b29297
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave8_lot4.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 69,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:33:54apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_ca4104fe
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot6.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 67,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:32:15apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_3ec1646f
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot5.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 67,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:31:32apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_60e25a57
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot7.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:30:21apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_8c0342d3
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot2.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 71,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:29:51apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_30129d48
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot4.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 67,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:29:02apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_7560bd12
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot8.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 9
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 54,
  "predictions_updated": 9
}
2026-05-01 18:28:55apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_9426f170
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot1.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 78,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:28:41apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_8b6d1461
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave7_lot3.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 66,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:21:41apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_9bbea1d7
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot3.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 68,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:14:45apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_6a4a8463
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot4.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 66,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:14:33apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_2492b319
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot7.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 67,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:14:03apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_8f8c8e76
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot6.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 66,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:13:24apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_34e23d36
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot1.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 75,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:13:00apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_ab46184f
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot5.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 77,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:12:02apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_26b1ff7a
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot8.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 9
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 47,
  "predictions_updated": 9
}
2026-05-01 18:11:32apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_8ccfddbb
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave6_lot2.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:05:28apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_fba33bed
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot7.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 64,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:02:47apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_72eca9e0
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot6.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:02:42apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_fa556055
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot5.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 72,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:02:39apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_e772aa7e
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot3.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 70,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:02:33apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_ec780c28
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot2.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:02:22apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_e54fb1ad
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot1.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:02:04apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_ac344a7f
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot4.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 13
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 65,
  "predictions_updated": 13
}
2026-05-01 18:01:57apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_8cd95529
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_wave5_lot8.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 9
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 54,
  "predictions_updated": 9
}
2026-05-01 17:52:31apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_45659e1a
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_batch4.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 10
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 45,
  "predictions_updated": 10
}
2026-05-01 17:42:39apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_0f2978b5
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_batch3.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 10
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 44,
  "predictions_updated": 10
}
2026-05-01 17:35:16apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_88855cf1
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_batch2.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 10
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 45,
  "predictions_updated": 10
}
2026-05-01 17:17:58apply_llm_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes:phase2_2728938a
view
{
  "input_file": "_phase2_batch1.json",
  "predictions_in_batch": 4
}
{
  "errors": 0,
  "new_entries": 22,
  "predictions_updated": 4
}
2026-05-01 16:59:05derive_milestonesnodes.metadata.milestonesnodes:milestones_50f5c6ea
view
{
  "predictions_total": 1404
}
{
  "kind_counts": {
    "kind_event": 1380,
    "kind_prereq": 3368,
    "kind_cascade": 3338,
    "kind_scenario_signal": 211,
    "kind_quartile_checkpoint": 1899
  },
  "total_milestones": 10196,
  "predictions_updated": 1380
}
2026-05-01 16:44:02compute_display_datesnodes.metadata.display_datenodes:display_date_45adcb7a
view
{
  "predictions_processed": 1380
}
{
  "max_bin": 182,
  "top_5_bins": {
    "2026-04": 78,
    "2026-06": 182,
    "2026-07": 50,
    "2027-06": 60,
    "2028-06": 92
  },
  "predictions_updated": 108,
  "distinct_year_months": 146
}
2026-05-01 16:43:38backfill_resolved_atnodes.metadata.resolved_atnodes:resolved_at_c5c9087c
view
{
  "terminal_without_resolved_at": 108
}
{
  "source_counts": {
    "fallback_window_end": 30,
    "validations_observed_at": 78
  },
  "predictions_updated": 108
}
2026-05-01 16:37:12compute_display_datesnodes.metadata.display_datenodes:display_date_8c49f929
view
{
  "predictions_processed": 1380
}
{
  "max_bin": 195,
  "top_5_bins": {
    "2026-06": 195,
    "2026-07": 59,
    "2026-08": 56,
    "2027-06": 65,
    "2028-06": 93
  },
  "predictions_updated": 16,
  "distinct_year_months": 157
}
2026-05-01 16:23:14compute_display_datesnodes.metadata.display_datenodes:display_date_2f8b3ade
view
{
  "predictions_processed": 1380
}
{
  "max_bin": 190,
  "top_5_bins": {
    "2026-06": 190,
    "2026-07": 59,
    "2026-08": 54,
    "2027-06": 65,
    "2028-06": 93
  },
  "predictions_updated": 1380,
  "distinct_year_months": 157
}
2026-05-01 01:49:10phase_2A.3_isolated_linkeredges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges:phase_2A.3_28f02cc2
view
{
  "isolated_predictions": 53
}
{
  "grade_counts": {
    "WEAK": 1,
    "GATING": 10,
    "STRONG": 16
  },
  "top_scenarios": {
    "S_MARS_2028": 1,
    "S_AGI_MID_2029": 6,
    "S_AGI_FAST_2027": 9,
    "S_ASI_FAST_2031": 1,
    "S_GRID_50GW_2029": 1,
    "S_RECESSION_2026": 2,
    "S_COMPUTE_1GW_2027": 1,
    "S_COMPUTE_10GW_2028": 3,
    "S_COMPUTE_100GW_2030": 2,
    "S_HUMANOID_ENTERPRISE_2028": 1
  },
  "edges_proposed": 27,
  "matched_predictions": 24,
  "unmatched_predictions": 29
}
2026-05-01 01:43:16phase_2A.2_graderedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges:phase_2A.2_1d981dd8
view
{
  "n_edges": 310,
  "all_at_weight_0.3": true
}
{
  "n_edges": 310,
  "grade_counts": {
    "DROP": 83,
    "WEAK": 97,
    "GATING": 75,
    "STRONG": 49,
    "NEGATIVE": 6
  },
  "weight_distribution": {
    "DROP": 0.05,
    "WEAK": 0.3,
    "GATING": 0.7,
    "STRONG": 0.5,
    "NEGATIVE": 0.4
  }
}
2026-05-01 01:42:52phase_2A_backfilledges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges:phase_2A_32dddb44
view
{}
{
  "threshold": 0.58,
  "max_per_pred": 2,
  "rows_inserted": 10,
  "max_per_scenario": 15,
  "candidates_proposed": 310
}
2026-05-01 01:31:04phase_2A.2_graderedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges:phase_2A.2_a00b6c14
view
{
  "n_edges": 453,
  "all_at_weight_0.3": true
}
{
  "n_edges": 453,
  "grade_counts": {
    "DROP": 82,
    "WEAK": 43,
    "GATING": 173,
    "STRONG": 139,
    "NEGATIVE": 16
  },
  "weight_distribution": {
    "DROP": 0.05,
    "WEAK": 0.3,
    "GATING": 0.7,
    "STRONG": 0.5,
    "NEGATIVE": 0.4
  }
}
2026-04-30 23:56:31phase_2A_backfilledges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges:phase_2A_740c3d3c
view
{}
{
  "threshold": 0.62,
  "max_per_pred": 2,
  "rows_inserted": 53,
  "max_per_scenario": 30,
  "candidates_proposed": 453
}
2026-04-30 23:00:01compute_brier_scorespredictors.brier_recomputepredictors:continual_20260430
view
{
  "max_delta": 0.05,
  "smoothing": true
}
{
  "kappa_shifts": [
    {
      "name": "Ben Lamm",
      "new_kappa": 0.6875,
      "old_kappa": 0.6429,
      "raw_delta": 0.0446
    },
    {
      "name": "Codex Research Pack",
      "new_kappa": 0.95,
      "old_kappa": 1,
      "raw_delta": -0.5
    }
  ],
  "n_resolved_total": 108,
  "n_predictors_updated": 104
}