Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
1,100
Filtered
1,100
page 2 / 22
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:18dd8b52f967lbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:505c3f8c6962lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ab7ecb4c0fd0lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cb236f3f5ed6lbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_060 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44268
}{
"delta": -0.24638276226733188,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.304 blend=0.196 LLR=-0.597 κ=0.86 w_in=0.72 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.19629723773266813,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_005 | view{
"current_prob": 0.51168
}{
"delta": -0.13943814212824224,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.372 blend=0.372 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3722418578717578,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50942
}{
"delta": -0.09700739432135025,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.412 blend=0.412 LLR=-0.392 κ=0.57 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41241260567864974,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:233_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.13404786419012765,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.320 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32016213580987235,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45381
}{
"delta": -0.13399797265964358,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.320 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3198120273403564,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44573
}{
"delta": -0.10578631950527817,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.340 blend=0.340 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33994368049472184,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40929
}{
"delta": -0.09982164294674961,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.237 blend=0.309 LLR=-0.611 κ=0.88 w_in=0.69 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.3094683570532504,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41193
}{
"delta": -0.08068776192406923,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.331 blend=0.331 LLR=-0.347 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3312422380759308,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39436
}{
"delta": -0.15182469376071436,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.264 blend=0.243 LLR=-0.597 κ=0.86 w_in=0.69 agi_breakthrough_5y",
"current_prob": 0.24253530623928563,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_039 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46319
}{
"delta": -0.3521074232485101,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.328 blend=0.111 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 w_in=0.39 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.11108257675148989,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_007 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45279
}{
"delta": -0.2618133329648442,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.319 blend=0.191 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 w_in=0.69 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.1909766670351558,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.13404786419012765,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.320 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32016213580987235,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_013 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45489
}{
"delta": -0.13412725644229107,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.321 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32076274355770895,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_034 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.13404786419012765,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.320 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32016213580987235,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_041 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41304
}{
"delta": -0.12824159110843175,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.285 blend=0.285 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.28479840889156827,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44727
}{
"delta": -0.05845474419045077,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.305 blend=0.389 LLR=-0.611 κ=0.88 w_in=0.55 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.38881525580954923,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_044 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.19404
}{
"delta": -0.0429727862323962,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.237 blend=0.151 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 w_in=0.69 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.1510672137676038,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50406
}{
"delta": -0.40671189668889257,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.365 blend=0.097 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.09734810331110737,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_041 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46136
}{
"delta": -0.13489955231825734,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.326 blend=0.326 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32646044768174265,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40632
}{
"delta": -0.10157538904649555,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.305 blend=0.305 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.30474461095350447,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41304
}{
"delta": -0.10238439703220442,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.311 blend=0.311 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3106556029677956,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41304
}{
"delta": -0.10238439703220442,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.311 blend=0.311 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3106556029677956,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43135
}{
"delta": -0.10438636829913805,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.327 blend=0.327 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32696363170086196,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_015 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.10654072716829271,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.348 blend=0.348 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3476692728317073,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.10654072716829271,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.348 blend=0.348 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3476692728317073,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_021 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40208
}{
"delta": -0.10105246945927754,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.301 blend=0.301 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.30102753054072245,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_022 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43698
}{
"delta": -0.10495471531538919,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.332 blend=0.332 LLR=-0.446 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3320252846846108,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.44744
}{
"delta": -0.13320170090792516,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.314 blend=0.314 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31423829909207485,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48966
}{
"delta": -0.28248335735206864,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.352 blend=0.207 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 w_in=0.69 regulatory_freeze_window",
"current_prob": 0.20717664264793137,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.4677
}{
"delta": -0.13560253414572015,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.332 blend=0.332 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.33209746585427985,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_036 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35196
}{
"delta": -0.10427824693653898,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.248 blend=0.248 LLR=-0.501 κ=0.72 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.24768175306346102,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_061 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_062 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_064 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50701
}{
"delta": -0.13912562904221676,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.368 blend=0.368 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3678843709577832,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_065 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46136
}{
"delta": -0.13489955231825734,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.326 blend=0.326 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32646044768174265,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_067 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41187
}{
"delta": -0.12804729678337418,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.284 blend=0.284 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.28382270321662584,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41518
}{
"delta": -0.1285802737465343,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.287 blend=0.287 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2865997262534657,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.38381
}{
"delta": -0.12846161262142236,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.255 blend=0.255 LLR=-0.597 κ=0.86 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2553483873785776,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_009 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.13404786419012765,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.320 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32016213580987235,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_010 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41518
}{
"delta": -0.1285802737465343,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.287 blend=0.287 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2865997262534657,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.49522
}{
"delta": -0.1382371539328986,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.357 blend=0.357 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3569828460671014,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-07-03 22:12:25 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.13404786419012765,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.320 LLR=-0.569 κ=0.82 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32016213580987235,
"n_milestones": 1
} |