Audit Log
Immutable change log. Every probability update, intake apply, validation adjudication, and bulk operation writes a row here with structured before/after JSON. Use these records to reconstruct any historical state. ← Ops
Total entries
1,100
Filtered
1,100
page 10 / 22
Distinct actions
33
Distinct kinds
16
Filters
Action
Allauto_corroborate.rundoc_node_link.bulk_confirmdoc_node_link.confirmedges.isolated_high_conv_linkedges.phase2a_strength_gradingedges.scenario_correlate_backfilledges.weight_tune_v1intake.appliedkappa_decay_runlbp.completednode.bulk_resolution_fixnode.bulk_updatenode.metadata_milestone_missnode.milestone_missnodes.metadata.display_datenodes.metadata.milestonesnodes.metadata.milestones.phase2nodes.metadata.resolved_atprediction_conflicts.runprediction.recalibration_candidate.stagepredictions.december_dispersalpredictions.scenario_assignmentpredictions.tier3_reviewpredictors.brier_recomputerecommendations.bulk_importrecommendations.refresh.runreference_class_base_rate_refreshreference_class.overrideresearch_event_pack.applyresolution_history.backfillscenario.bulk_createsource_reliability.seedtrajectories.create_correlate_edges
Target kind
Actor (top 50)
Allapply_llm_milestonesapply_low_confidence_decisionsassign_predictions_to_scenariosbackfill_resolution_historybackfill_resolved_atbuild_scenario_pathscodexcompute_brier_scorescompute_display_datesderive_milestonesdisperse_december_bunchingfix_partial_classificationintake:515b84c4-6b29-4d57-8dd6-d41dac…intake:568095f6-eb44-4f96-92d3-13455b…intake:7afeeb9a-f217-4dd2-b910-24ff14…intake:99aa73db-75b1-4b1e-8470-a11f87…intake:c130222f-ab93-4d94-b596-5f4dc7…lbp_run:0c8a4ea3431elbp_run:18dd8b52f967lbp_run:1a683ac9e205lbp_run:1c6a06976c86lbp_run:505c3f8c6962lbp_run:592311ef6bcalbp_run:806b02f82f58lbp_run:807dd6f649b1lbp_run:ab7ecb4c0fd0lbp_run:ba893ab6499flbp_run:cb236f3f5ed6lbp_run:cd8605f31f33lbp_run:e5c18d29fb42lbp_run:e607fa961f0blbp_run:ffd25072aee9link_trajectories_to_dimensionsmanual_overridemetadata_milestone_sweepmilestone_miss_sweepphase_2A.2_graderphase_2A.3_isolated_linkerphase_2A_backfillphase2_part3_smoke_testphase3_p4_smoke_testphase3_p6_smoke_testseed_source_reliabilitystage_recalibration_candidatessystem:auto_corroboratesystem:decay_predictor_kappasystem:detect_prediction_conflictssystem:import_recommendationssystem:refresh_recommendationssystem:refresh_reference_class_base_r…
| When | Actor | Action | Target | Before → After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_055 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45075
}{
"delta": 0.01698722114495599,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.394 blend=0.468 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.467737221144956,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_051 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46435
}{
"delta": -0.031025175120269588,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.433 blend=0.433 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4333248248797304,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33753
}{
"delta": -0.17447450491660846,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.278 blend=0.163 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.16305549508339154,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | milestone_miss_sweep | node.milestone_miss | node:235_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45463
}{
"delta": -0.14213595220759961,
"reason": "milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.312 blend=0.312 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 w_in=1.00 ipo_trillion_plus",
"current_prob": 0.31249404779240036,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 22:09:40 | milestone_miss_sweep | node.milestone_miss | node:INF_012 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50941
}{
"delta": -0.04938724342555584,
"reason": "milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.401 blend=0.460 LLR=-0.439 κ=0.63 w_in=0.40 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
"current_prob": 0.4600227565744442,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-31 02:00:02 | lbp_run:807dd6f649b1 | lbp.completed | lbp_run:807dd6f649b1 | view{
"edge_count": 11986,
"node_count": 1635
}{
"residual": 0.006741,
"converged": true,
"top_moves": [
{
"delta": 0.08637,
"node_id": "CMQ_052"
},
{
"delta": 0.0862,
"node_id": "CMQ_004"
},
{
"delta": 0.08593,
"node_id": "IND_023"
},
{
"delta": 0.08303,
"node_id": "235_019"
},
{
"delta": 0.08196,
"node_id": "INF_004"
},
{
"delta": 0.07844,
"node_id": "CYB_005"
},
{
"delta": 0.07661,
"node_id": "INF_037"
},
{
"delta": -0.07413,
"node_id": "SEM_036"
},
{
"delta": -0.07039,
"node_id": "INF_016"
},
{
"delta": -0.0648,
"node_id": "CMQ_028"
}
],
"iterations": 4,
"applied_beliefs": false,
"n_significant_moves": 118
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:04 | system:refresh_recommendations | recommendations.refresh.run | — | view{
"recs_examined": 417,
"positions_examined": 34
}{
"alerts_queued": 0
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:04 | system:detect_prediction_conflicts | prediction_conflicts.run | — | view{
"summary": "D5 conflict-detect run start"
}{
"detected": 0
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:03 | system:refresh_reference_class_base_rates | reference_class_base_rate_refresh | — | view{
"summary": "R3 refresh start",
"examined": 19
}{
"rows": [],
"below": [
{
"n": 10,
"id": "mega_market_cap_5y"
},
{
"n": 15,
"id": "ai_capability_milestone_2y"
},
{
"n": 8,
"id": "memory_supercycle_2y"
},
{
"n": 8,
"id": "hyperscaler_capex_forecast_2y"
},
{
"n": 10,
"id": "gpu_roadmap_on_time_1y"
},
{
"n": 20,
"id": "single_stock_target_1y"
},
{
"n": 20,
"id": "ai_catastrophic_misuse_1y"
},
{
"n": 8,
"id": "av_deployment_scale_2y"
},
{
"n": 20,
"id": "political_crisis_2y"
},
{
"n": 5,
"id": "agi_breakthrough_5y"
},
{
"n": 12,
"id": "fab_construction_3y"
},
{
"n": 3,
"id": "humanoid_commercial_volume"
},
{
"n": 4,
"id": "ipo_trillion_plus"
},
{
"n": 4,
"id": "regulatory_freeze_window"
},
{
"n": 6,
"id": "energy_grid_rebuild_5y"
},
{
"n": 18,
"id": "mars_uncrewed_landing_window"
},
{
"n": 0,
"id": "taiwan_kinetic_conflict_2y"
}
],
"updated": 0,
"examined": 19,
"below_threshold": 17,
"min_n_threshold": 30
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:03 | system:decay_predictor_kappa | kappa_decay_run | — | view{
"summary": "C4 κ decay run start",
"examined": 104
}{
"rows": [
{
"name": "Ben Lamm",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Alex Wissner-Gross",
"delta": -0.000023,
"kappa_new": 0.843777,
"kappa_old": 0.8438,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Codex Research Pack",
"delta": -0.000023,
"kappa_new": 0.849877,
"kappa_old": 0.8499,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Micron",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Andrej Karpathy",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Anthropic",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Demis Hassabis",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Dario Amodei",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Elon Musk",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Joseph Moore",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Jack Dorsey",
"delta": -0.000015,
"kappa_new": 0.722185,
"kappa_old": 0.7222,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Emad Mostaque",
"delta": -0.000015,
"kappa_new": 0.722185,
"kappa_old": 0.7222,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Joe Liemandt",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Kevin Weil",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Andrew Yang",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Superforecaster Community",
"delta": -0.000009,
"kappa_new": 0.642891,
"kappa_old": 0.6429,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Jimmy Ba",
"delta": -0.000009,
"kappa_new": 0.642891,
"kappa_old": 0.6429,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Peter Diamandis / Salim Ismail / Andrew Yang",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "SpaceX",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Video Narration (SpaceX)",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Brett Adcock",
"delta": -0.000018,
"kappa_new": 0.772682,
"kappa_old": 0.7727,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Alex Finn",
"delta": -0.000009,
"kappa_new": 0.642891,
"kappa_old": 0.6429,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Dara Khosrowshahi",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Jensen Huang",
"delta": -0.00002,
"kappa_new": 0.80768,
"kappa_old": 0.8077,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "David Holz",
"delta": -0.000009,
"kappa_new": 0.642891,
"kappa_old": 0.6429,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Leopold Aschenbrenner",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Dave Blundin",
"delta": -0.000021,
"kappa_new": 0.821379,
"kappa_old": 0.8214,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Meta / a16z (Andreessen, Horowitz)",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Michael Saylor",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Morgan Stanley / Georgia Tech / Intel",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "New Market Pitch",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Nvidia",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Morgan Stanley",
"delta": -0.000009,
"kappa_new": 0.633291,
"kappa_old": 0.6333,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "OpenAI (Sam Altman-led)",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Peter Diamandis",
"delta": -0.000025,
"kappa_new": 0.874975,
"kappa_old": 0.875,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Salim Ismail",
"delta": -0.000009,
"kappa_new": 0.642891,
"kappa_old": 0.6429,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Sam Altman",
"delta": -0.000005,
"kappa_new": 0.583295,
"kappa_old": 0.5833,
"days_since": 7.97
},
{
"name": "Eric Schmidt",
"delta": -0.000012,
"kappa_new": 0.687488,
"kappa_old": 0.6875,
"days_since": 7.97
}
],
"alpha": 0.003,
"updated": 38,
"examined": 104,
"kappa_prior": 0.5,
"max_daily_decay": 0.01,
"decay_horizon_days": 365
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_025 | view{
"current_prob": 0.43481
}{
"delta": -0.05708434221775749,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.378 blend=0.378 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3777256577822425,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_031 | view{
"current_prob": 0.52598
}{
"delta": -0.04874537088082043,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.477 blend=0.477 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4772346291191796,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:232_046 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36586
}{
"delta": -0.040929136652571474,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.325 blend=0.325 LLR=-0.181 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.32493086334742854,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:234_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.042281408221289174,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.412 blend=0.412 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.41192859177871083,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_019 | view{
"current_prob": 0.33836
}{
"delta": -0.210631052158486,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.218 blend=0.128 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 w_in=0.30 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.127728947841514,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:235_027 | view{
"current_prob": 0.54014
}{
"delta": -0.07524961655595047,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4648903834440495,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_014 | view{
"current_prob": 0.48875
}{
"delta": -0.06354859946807828,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.256 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.42520140053192174,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:236_049 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50021
}{
"delta": -0.06856035187158516,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.276 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4316496481284149,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:237_006 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45421
}{
"delta": -0.047885515652211386,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.406 blend=0.406 LLR=-0.196 κ=0.64 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4063244843477886,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39244
}{
"delta": -0.02624334657411226,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.50 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.36619665342588775,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:238_003 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46632
}{
"delta": -0.08635755431577319,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.380 blend=0.380 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.3799624456842268,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_011 | view{
"current_prob": 0.31821
}{
"delta": -0.0935190485506977,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.225 blend=0.225 LLR=-0.477 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2246909514493023,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:239_016 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46002
}{
"delta": -0.0275428207955844,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.69 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.4324771792044156,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:240_037 | view{
"current_prob": 0.36062
}{
"delta": -0.1254199528283777,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.235 blend=0.235 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.2352000471716223,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:241_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.46107
}{
"delta": -0.14297546985357634,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.318 blend=0.318 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.31809453014642364,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_002 | view{
"current_prob": 0.53869
}{
"delta": -0.07524615205748414,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.463 blend=0.463 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.46344384794251586,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:246_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50927
}{
"delta": 0.03128147577984264,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.447 blend=0.541 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 w_in=0.30 fab_construction_3y",
"current_prob": 0.5405514757798426,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AI_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.80501
}{
"delta": -0.05655430156348118,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.748 blend=0.748 LLR=-0.327 κ=0.81 no_blend",
"current_prob": 0.7484556984365188,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.35731
}{
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| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_007 | view{
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| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_009 | view{
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| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:AUT_013 | view{
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"current_prob": 0.14972435590260805,
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| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_001 | view{
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}{
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| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_004 | view{
"current_prob": 0.4587
}{
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"current_prob": 0.2764608989788214,
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| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_008 | view{
"current_prob": 0.45732
}{
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"current_prob": 0.4128176233246724,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.59885
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"current_prob": 0.5187414535778369,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.71967
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"current_prob": 0.6491582114724876,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_024 | view{
"current_prob": 0.61674
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"current_prob": 0.5369879188501188,
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| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_029 | view{
"current_prob": 0.78837
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"current_prob": 0.7410138029594387,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_030 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41352
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"current_prob": 0.3369477449161395,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_035 | view{
"current_prob": 0.69241
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"current_prob": 0.6750416067632262,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_042 | view{
"current_prob": 0.40958
}{
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"current_prob": 0.3492169282993375,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_047 | view{
"current_prob": 0.58003
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"current_prob": 0.5110334274365221,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_052 | view{
"current_prob": 0.41184
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"current_prob": 0.22140039408926465,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_056 | view{
"current_prob": 0.34056
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"current_prob": 0.1888795084186773,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_058 | view{
"current_prob": 0.65016
}{
"delta": -0.061343633502711103,
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"current_prob": 0.5888163664972889,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:CMQ_059 | view{
"current_prob": 0.70778
}{
"delta": -0.08375639299458659,
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"current_prob": 0.6240236070054134,
"n_milestones": 2
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:COD_BIO_001 | view{
"current_prob": 0.50481
}{
"delta": -0.03871135755254196,
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"current_prob": 0.466098642447458,
"n_milestones": 1
} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_017 | view{
"current_prob": 0.18082
}{
"delta": -0.06676572789300368,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.134 blend=0.114 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 w_in=0.44 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.11405427210699633,
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} |
| 2026-05-30 22:15:00 | metadata_milestone_sweep | node.metadata_milestone_miss | node:IND_023 | view{
"current_prob": 0.39825
}{
"delta": -0.17812742468738718,
"reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.320 blend=0.220 LLR=-0.342 κ=0.84 w_in=0.65 humanoid_commercial_volume",
"current_prob": 0.2201225753126128,
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} |