Audit Log

{
  "current_prob": 0.43714
}

{
  "delta": -0.049087948998007114,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.388 blend=0.388 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.38805205100199286,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.25045
}

{
  "delta": -0.06097516494877886,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.189 blend=0.189 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.18947483505122115,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.60509
}

{
  "delta": -0.04932322111548415,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.556 blend=0.556 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.5557667788845159,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.47521
}

{
  "delta": -0.08737986025569061,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.388 blend=0.388 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3878301397443094,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.36945
}

{
  "delta": -0.06227205832641275,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.307 blend=0.307 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.30717794167358725,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.35294
}

{
  "delta": -0.04462675272230893,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.308 blend=0.308 LLR=-0.202 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.30831324727769105,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.6479
}

{
  "delta": -0.055003462091127164,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.600 blend=0.593 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.63 fab_construction_3y",
  "current_prob": 0.5928965379088729,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.32672
}

{
  "delta": -0.16311604625510953,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.269 blend=0.164 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.47 humanoid_commercial_volume",
  "current_prob": 0.16360395374489048,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.467
}

{
  "delta": -0.06831412830914774,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.399 blend=0.399 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3986858716908523,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.67074
}

{
  "delta": -0.08111755719500457,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.590 blend=0.590 LLR=-0.349 κ=0.86 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.5896224428049954,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.51534
}

{
  "delta": -0.05062113594659706,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.46471886405340296,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45258
}

{
  "delta": -0.043285159130786344,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.364 blend=0.409 LLR=-0.250 κ=0.88 w_in=0.66 ipo_trillion_plus",
  "current_prob": 0.40929484086921364,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45798
}

{
  "delta": -0.0864588604217641,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.372 blend=0.372 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3715211395782359,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.40122
}

{
  "delta": 0.012229089674481608,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.413 LLR=-0.349 κ=0.86 w_in=0.47 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
  "current_prob": 0.41344908967448163,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.53893
}

{
  "delta": -0.04624369405574996,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.488 blend=0.493 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 w_in=0.63 energy_grid_rebuild_5y",
  "current_prob": 0.49268630594425006,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.87062
}

{
  "delta": -0.042348532412862516,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.828 blend=0.828 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.8282714675871374,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.42054
}

{
  "delta": -0.07836486532349013,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.342 blend=0.342 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3421751346765099,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.28359
}

{
  "delta": -0.05931650486188736,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.224 blend=0.224 LLR=-0.314 κ=0.86 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.22427349513811265,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43471
}

{
  "delta": -0.07102739147483922,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.364 blend=0.364 LLR=-0.297 κ=0.86 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.36368260852516077,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46601
}

{
  "delta": -0.08690966627362284,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.379 blend=0.379 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.37910033372637714,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.34753
}

{
  "delta": -0.06393578397655286,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.284 blend=0.284 LLR=-0.297 κ=0.86 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.28359421602344714,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45403
}

{
  "delta": -0.0677944630086772,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.386 blend=0.386 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3862355369913228,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.62651
}

{
  "delta": -0.06716437319581281,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.559 blend=0.559 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.5593456268041872,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.53646
}

{
  "delta": -0.06971217587006939,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.467 blend=0.467 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.86 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.46674782412993066,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.48548
}

{
  "delta": -0.06890510913191666,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.417 blend=0.417 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.41657489086808336,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45421
}

{
  "delta": -0.04490825434703,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.409 blend=0.409 LLR=-0.183 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.40930174565297,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.41715
}

{
  "delta": -0.22311440941071628,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.354 blend=0.194 LLR=-0.266 κ=0.82 w_in=0.65 regulatory_freeze_window",
  "current_prob": 0.19403559058928374,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.16521
}

{
  "delta": -0.03495619959431967,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.130 blend=0.130 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.13025380040568033,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.48526
}

{
  "delta": -0.08783015875645778,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.397 blend=0.397 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.39742984124354225,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50237
}

{
  "delta": -0.08844173982162185,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.414 blend=0.414 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.41392826017837814,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.31251
}

{
  "delta": -0.04182313760275985,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.271 blend=0.271 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.27068686239724016,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.38433
}

{
  "delta": -0.06349924685244301,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.321 blend=0.321 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.320830753147557,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.54564
}

{
  "delta": -0.050556536149982456,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.495 blend=0.495 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.49508346385001756,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46229
}

{
  "delta": -0.0867046181920153,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.376 blend=0.376 LLR=-0.357 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3755853818079847,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.34714
}

{
  "delta": -0.04442059419545091,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.303 blend=0.303 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3027194058045491,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.41613
}

{
  "delta": -0.05451932030443102,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.292 blend=0.362 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.64 mars_uncrewed_landing_window",
  "current_prob": 0.361610679695569,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.8103
}

{
  "delta": -0.056507325781572915,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.754 blend=0.754 LLR=-0.333 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.7537926742184271,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.35406
}

{
  "delta": -0.12224897409143065,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.232 blend=0.232 LLR=-0.597 κ=0.86 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.23181102590856933,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.55202
}

{
  "delta": -0.0846013437261347,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.467 blend=0.467 LLR=-0.339 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.46741865627386525,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.53597
}

{
  "delta": -0.026546916163372125,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.509 blend=0.509 LLR=-0.106 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.5094230838366278,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50337
}

{
  "delta": -0.038274271881832356,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.153 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.46509572811816763,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46017
}

{
  "delta": -0.04488926694751538,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.374 blend=0.415 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 w_in=0.67 ipo_trillion_plus",
  "current_prob": 0.41528073305248464,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45202
}

{
  "delta": -0.056856060318512036,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.395 blend=0.395 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.39516393968148794,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.28592
}

{
  "delta": -0.04943829333478392,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.236 blend=0.236 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.63 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.2364817066652161,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.30894
}

{
  "delta": -0.0683935505301593,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.241 blend=0.241 LLR=-0.345 κ=0.85 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.2405464494698407,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.41612
}

{
  "delta": -0.06898327994138043,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.347 blend=0.347 LLR=-0.293 κ=0.85 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.34713672005861956,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43816
}

{
  "delta": -0.03056976904806341,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.408 blend=0.408 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.77 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4075902309519366,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.54974
}

{
  "delta": -0.0752024179089677,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.475 blend=0.475 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4745375820910323,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50992
}

{
  "delta": -0.06189626854862412,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.448 blend=0.448 LLR=-0.248 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4480237314513759,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37616
}

{
  "delta": 0.07045199259790869,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.343 blend=0.447 LLR=-0.142 κ=0.50 w_in=0.33 ipo_trillion_plus",
  "current_prob": 0.4466119925979087,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.48144
}

{
  "delta": -0.0274016216568978,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.411 blend=0.454 LLR=-0.284 κ=0.88 w_in=0.51 ipo_trillion_plus",
  "current_prob": 0.4540383783431022,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.38134
}

{
  "delta": -0.06587354519573868,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.315 blend=0.315 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.31546645480426133,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37584
}

{
  "delta": -0.12866798769198276,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.247 blend=0.247 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.24717201230801725,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.34218
}

{
  "delta": -0.09804237192471674,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.244 blend=0.244 LLR=-0.477 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.24413762807528325,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.48227
}

{
  "delta": -0.05027030411117117,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4319996958888288,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.39482
}

{
  "delta": -0.0781723945161476,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.317 blend=0.317 LLR=-0.342 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3166476054838524,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37381
}

{
  "delta": -0.2715207309772363,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.250 blend=0.102 LLR=-0.585 κ=0.84 w_in=0.42 regulatory_freeze_window",
  "current_prob": 0.10228926902276371,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45455
}

{
  "delta": -0.1421244488122259,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.312 blend=0.312 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3124255511877741,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37996
}

{
  "delta": -0.12950956510280348,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.250 blend=0.250 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.25045043489719654,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.40611
}

{
  "delta": -0.06007454972169873,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.346 blend=0.346 LLR=-0.256 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3460354502783013,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.49838
}

{
  "delta": -0.14699943734787457,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.351 blend=0.351 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3513805626521254,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.44604
}

{
  "delta": -0.1409541555382337,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.305 blend=0.305 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3050858444617663,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.47397
}

{
  "delta": -0.3547223840287336,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.334 blend=0.119 LLR=-0.585 κ=0.84 w_in=0.42 regulatory_freeze_window",
  "current_prob": 0.11924761597126643,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.3949
}

{
  "delta": -0.0707356105750343,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.324 blend=0.324 LLR=-0.308 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.32416438942496567,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.47407
}

{
  "delta": -0.07829878249176248,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.396 blend=0.396 LLR=-0.319 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3957712175082375,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.34195
}

{
  "delta": 0.006994326750678348,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.290 blend=0.349 LLR=-0.239 κ=0.84 w_in=0.39 fda_breakthrough_label",
  "current_prob": 0.3489443267506783,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37679
}

{
  "delta": -0.20570868440856693,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.348 blend=0.171 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.77 w_in=0.39 humanoid_commercial_volume",
  "current_prob": 0.17108131559143308,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45421
}

{
  "delta": -0.07668631865673808,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.378 blend=0.378 LLR=-0.316 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3775236813432619,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46435
}

{
  "delta": -0.07486817374416399,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.389 blend=0.389 LLR=-0.307 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.389481826255836,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.48073
}

{
  "delta": -0.08105726440424843,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.400 blend=0.400 LLR=-0.330 κ=0.82 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.39967273559575156,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.37708
}

{
  "delta": -0.06291254804215696,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.314 blend=0.314 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.31416745195784307,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.35194
}

{
  "delta": -0.14805964777686834,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.269 blend=0.204 LLR=-0.392 κ=0.77 w_in=0.70 humanoid_commercial_volume",
  "current_prob": 0.20388035222313164,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43332
}

{
  "delta": -0.05044583913720907,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.383 blend=0.383 LLR=-0.209 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3828741608627909,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.54055
}

{
  "delta": -0.027416691368334356,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.400 blend=0.513 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.88 w_in=0.37 fab_construction_3y",
  "current_prob": 0.5131333086316656,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.39014
}

{
  "delta": -0.06659516934363419,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.324 blend=0.324 LLR=-0.291 κ=0.84 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3235448306563658,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.42275
}

{
  "delta": -0.06936784725425937,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=2 inside=0.353 blend=0.353 LLR=-0.293 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.35338215274574064,
  "n_milestones": 2
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.42865
}

{
  "delta": -0.08911252089781985,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=3 inside=0.340 blend=0.340 LLR=-0.378 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.33953747910218013,
  "n_milestones": 3
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.60639
}

{
  "delta": -0.04928651500510772,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.557 blend=0.557 LLR=-0.203 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.5571034849948923,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.49282
}

{
  "delta": -0.06371265921497637,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.429 blend=0.429 LLR=-0.257 κ=0.63 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4291073407850236,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45075
}

{
  "delta": 0.01698722114495599,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.394 blend=0.468 LLR=-0.233 κ=0.82 w_in=0.30 ipo_trillion_plus",
  "current_prob": 0.467737221144956,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46435
}

{
  "delta": -0.031025175120269588,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.433 blend=0.433 LLR=-0.125 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4333248248797304,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.49391
}

{
  "delta": -0.0413256874576311,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.424 blend=0.453 LLR=-0.284 κ=0.88 w_in=0.62 ipo_trillion_plus",
  "current_prob": 0.4525843125423689,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.33753
}

{
  "delta": -0.17447450491660846,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.278 blend=0.163 LLR=-0.279 κ=0.69 w_in=0.45 humanoid_commercial_volume",
  "current_prob": 0.16305549508339154,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.58445
}

{
  "delta": -0.04949484106747115,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.535 blend=0.535 LLR=-0.201 κ=0.58 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.5349551589325289,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.43481
}

{
  "delta": -0.05708434221775749,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.378 blend=0.378 LLR=-0.237 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3777256577822425,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.52598
}

{
  "delta": -0.04874537088082043,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.477 blend=0.477 LLR=-0.195 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4772346291191796,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.36586
}

{
  "delta": -0.040929136652571474,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.325 blend=0.325 LLR=-0.181 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.32493086334742854,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45421
}

{
  "delta": -0.042281408221289174,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.412 blend=0.412 LLR=-0.172 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.41192859177871083,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.33836
}

{
  "delta": -0.210631052158486,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.218 blend=0.128 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 w_in=0.30 humanoid_commercial_volume",
  "current_prob": 0.127728947841514,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.54014
}

{
  "delta": -0.07524961655595047,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.465 blend=0.465 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4648903834440495,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.48875
}

{
  "delta": -0.06354859946807828,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.425 blend=0.425 LLR=-0.256 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.42520140053192174,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.50021
}

{
  "delta": -0.06856035187158516,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.276 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4316496481284149,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.45421
}

{
  "delta": -0.047885515652211386,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.406 blend=0.406 LLR=-0.196 κ=0.64 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4063244843477886,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.39244
}

{
  "delta": -0.02624334657411226,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.366 blend=0.366 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.50 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.36619665342588775,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46632
}

{
  "delta": -0.08635755431577319,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.380 blend=0.380 LLR=-0.355 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.3799624456842268,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.31821
}

{
  "delta": -0.0935190485506977,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.225 blend=0.225 LLR=-0.477 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.2246909514493023,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46002
}

{
  "delta": -0.0275428207955844,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.432 blend=0.432 LLR=-0.112 κ=0.69 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.4324771792044156,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.36062
}

{
  "delta": -0.1254199528283777,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.235 blend=0.235 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.2352000471716223,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.46107
}

{
  "delta": -0.14297546985357634,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.318 blend=0.318 LLR=-0.607 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.31809453014642364,
  "n_milestones": 1
}

{
  "current_prob": 0.53869
}

{
  "delta": -0.07524615205748414,
  "reason": "metadata_milestone_miss_sweep bayesian_v2 n=1 inside=0.463 blend=0.463 LLR=-0.302 κ=0.88 no_blend",
  "current_prob": 0.46344384794251586,
  "n_milestones": 1
}